TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Travnicek vs Frantisek Chaloupka 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1176115111214––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 77 set 4, 12-14
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 9–12 Frantisek Chaloupka Jakub Travnicek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Travnicek beat Chaloupka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 2.00 / Chaloupka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13206523
Travnicek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 57 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Chaloupka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek4wins
AwayChaloupka6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%3 of 3
AwayChaloupka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Travnicek4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek6Chaloupka4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S4Travnicek2Chaloupka5n = 7Chaloupka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekChaloupkaT − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.7−3.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 438 vs 284 / 54350.5%52.3%221 / 438 vs 284 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaTravnicek 2.00/Chaloupka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 09:40J. Travnicek4311129113F. Chaloupka357101171
WSep 19 · 09:09J. Travnicek331111113F. Chaloupka208570
LSep 19 · 07:40J. Travnicek248970F. Chaloupka331111113
WAug 21 · 19:40J. Travnicek511011118113F. Chaloupka4912981192
LJul 17 · 20:15J. Travnicek36881191F. Chaloupka4211119113
LJun 27 · 16:50J. Travnicek2271140F. Chaloupka351113113
LJun 27 · 15:10J. Travnicek27461161F. Chaloupka4111118113
LMay 24 · 16:45J. Travnicek24421171F. Chaloupka3911116113
WMay 24 · 13:40J. Travnicek4211911113F. Chaloupka31611681
LMay 16 · 20:55J. Travnicek27411841F. Chaloupka4211911113
J. Travnicek10
LSep 27 · 12:10A. Veliiev2.251111113J. Travnicek1.577750WSep 27 · 11:10J. Travnicek1.9111138113J. Krupnik1.806111181WSep 27 · 09:40F. Chaloupka1.577101171J. Travnicek2.2511129113WSep 26 · 09:14J. Travnicek1.8011119113D. Jr1.91941191WSep 26 · 08:15D. Jr1.915760J. Travnicek1.801111113WSep 26 · 07:15J. Travnicek1.7311811113A. Veliiev2.00911881LSep 26 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.83126115113J. Travnicek1.83101161192WSep 22 · 21:08J. Travnicek1.83971111143D. Stusek1.83111195122WSep 22 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8081140J. Travnicek1.911113113WSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 27 · 11:40F. Chaloupka1.7311117113J. Krupnik2.00891171WSep 27 · 10:40F. Chaloupka1.7311127133A. Veliiev2.0041011111LSep 27 · 09:40F. Chaloupka1.577101171J. Travnicek2.2511129113LSep 22 · 16:55F. Chaloupka2.20118491B. Moravec1.6191111113LSep 22 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.61111176113F. Chaloupka2.2068111192LSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 13:45B. Moravec1.537780F. Chaloupka2.381111113WSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680WSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Travnicek
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F. Chaloupka
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