TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Filip Husek vs Oleh Plyska 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611911117117
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:17 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Oleh Plyska at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 2–3 Oleh Plyska Filip Husek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:1754.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plyska
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1418 vs Plyska 1447
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 60% vs Plyska 20%
Husek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 50% vs Plyska 30%
Husek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek +3 · Plyska -2
Husek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Plyska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.909 / Plyska 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plyska)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229421
Husek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 21 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 17 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Plyska1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 30)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 92 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it65% 64 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHusek2wins
AwayPlyska3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPlyska leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPlyska100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek2Plyska3n = 5Plyska took 3 of 5
S2Husek0Plyska5n = 5Plyska took 5 of 5
S3Husek3Plyska2n = 5Husek took 3 of 5
S4Husek3Plyska0n = 3Husek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricHusekPlyskaH − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.236.4−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 148 vs 324 / 66350%48.9%74 / 148 vs 324 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaHusek 1.91/Plyska 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Husek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 2 · 10:30F. Husek3911611113O. Plyska34911591
WFeb 6 · 11:30F. Husek4112711113O. Plyska321011381
LJan 21 · 17:00F. Husek2768130O. Plyska371111153
LJan 6 · 16:45F. Husek4696111192O. Plyska46111167113
LJan 3 · 15:30F. Husek135620O. Plyska331111113
F. Husek10
WSep 11 · 09:19J. Puk1.91101141162F. Husek1.80129114113WSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113WSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek1.57119118113P. Moulis2.2551181152LSep 11 · 06:00F. Husek1.619101191J. Puk2.2011124113LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182
O. Plyska10
LSep 30 · 17:09O. Plyska2.008812141J. Mejzlik1.73111110163LSep 30 · 16:00O. Plyska1.911211101132M. Vorel1.801081213113WSep 30 · 14:30K. Polak2.3897100O. Plyska1.531111123LSep 30 · 14:00J. Mejzlik1.801110117113O. Plyska1.9141281152LSep 26 · 08:29O. Plyska2.008650P. Hlina1.731111113LSep 26 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.201111113O. Plyska1.615570LSep 26 · 07:00M. Vorel1.80841111113O. Plyska1.9111113762WSep 26 · 05:30P. Hlina1.80611211112O. Plyska1.91116117133WSep 22 · 17:08O. Plyska1.61111111143M. Vana2.201138121LSep 22 · 16:00M. Vana2.007111213113O. Plyska1.73116101542
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.