TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Tymofeev vs Stepan Hryhorenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711411118118117
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 1–3 Stepan Hryhorenko Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hryhorenko beat Tymofeev 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 2.25 / Hryhorenko 1.571
Setka Cup · #13227123
Tymofeev2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 35 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Hryhorenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTymofeev1wins
AwayHryhorenko3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderHryhorenko leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev2Hryhorenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Tymofeev3Hryhorenko1n = 4Tymofeev took 3 of 4
S3Tymofeev1Hryhorenko3n = 4Hryhorenko took 3 of 4
S4Tymofeev0Hryhorenko4n = 4Hryhorenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTymofeevHryhorenkoT − HBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.246.5−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 532 vs 57 / 14153.4%40.4%284 / 532 vs 57 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoTymofeev 2.25/Hryhorenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LOct 1 · 08:00O. Tymofeev32511791S. Hryhorenko3811511113
LAug 30 · 06:50O. Tymofeev381189101S. Hryhorenko4061111123
WJul 11 · 06:05O. Tymofeev45111146133S. Hryhorenko48961111112
LJun 13 · 06:05O. Tymofeev581611121272S. Hryhorenko601871014113
O. Tymofeev10
LOct 1 · 08:00S. Hryhorenko1.7311511113O. Tymofeev2.00511791WOct 1 · 07:00O. Tymofeev2.38711513113Y. Kovshun1.53114111142LOct 1 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.801110118113O. Tymofeev1.9181281192WOct 1 · 05:00O. Tymofeev2.10411115133A. Troyan1.67119211112WSep 27 · 10:48D. Patalakha3.40811111142O. Tymofeev1.30111337113WSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev1.30114115113D. Patalakha3.4091151142LSep 27 · 08:50S. Solomko2.751111183O. Tymofeev1.4044160WSep 27 · 07:50O. Osadchyi1.9171111992O. Tymofeev1.80117511113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143WSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050
S. Hryhorenko10
LOct 1 · 09:00S. Hryhorenko2.5084100Y. Volkov1.501111123WOct 1 · 08:00S. Hryhorenko1.7311511113O. Tymofeev2.00511791WOct 1 · 06:30S. Hryhorenko4.001314113A. Troyan1.22111260LOct 1 · 05:30S. Hryhorenko2.509136101Y. Kovshun1.50111111123WSep 21 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.731112113S. Solomko2.0071080WSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113WSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782WSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.801111113O. Osadchyi1.918630LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113
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