TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Unzeitig vs Jakub Simecek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101197119111214
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jakub Simecek @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 106 set 5, 12-14 · our read held Jakub Simecek at 56.9%
106 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 4–6 Jakub Simecek Daniel Unzeitig has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:0256.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Simecek
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1619 vs Simecek 1663
Simecek
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 60% vs Simecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 50% vs Simecek 70%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig +1 · Simecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Simecek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 2.00 / Simecek 1.727
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Simecek)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216733
Unzeitig2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 33 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Simecek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 75 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it71% 49 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUnzeitig4wins
AwaySimecek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUnzeitig60%3 of 5
AwaySimecek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S2Unzeitig4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10
S3Unzeitig3Simecek7n = 10Simecek took 7 of 10
S4Unzeitig7Simecek1n = 8Unzeitig took 7 of 8
S5Unzeitig0Simecek3n = 3Simecek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUnzeitigSimecekU − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.7+1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 310 vs 153 / 28447.1%53.9%146 / 310 vs 153 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekUnzeitig 2.00/Simecek 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jakub Simecek @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
2–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig48121181342J. Simecek491421111113
WSep 3 · 16:30D. Unzeitig4891215123J. Simecek44111013101
WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig3911116113J. Simecek23811131
WAug 28 · 08:30D. Unzeitig4111811113J. Simecek34611981
LAug 24 · 16:58D. Unzeitig2313730J. Simecek371511113
LAug 24 · 14:30D. Unzeitig207850J. Simecek331111113
LAug 23 · 14:00D. Unzeitig409119111J. Simecek4011511133
WAug 9 · 09:29D. Unzeitig4516711113J. Simecek381411671
LAug 9 · 08:00D. Unzeitig5411101011122J. Simecek54912127143
LAug 2 · 14:00D. Unzeitig5011991292J. Simecek452111110113
D. Unzeitig10
WSep 30 · 17:10D. Unzeitig1.7391111113J. Holubec2.00117671WSep 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig2.25117811133J. Holubec1.57911111112LSep 30 · 14:00M. Holub1.73311511113D. Unzeitig2.0011511792LSep 27 · 17:30D. Unzeitig2.008850Z. Pagac1.731111113WSep 27 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.5061090D. Unzeitig2.501112113WSep 27 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.501191011113D. Szotek1.5071112752LSep 27 · 14:30T. Kypr1.731441111113D. Unzeitig2.0016119582LSep 17 · 17:30Z. Pagac1.501111113D. Unzeitig2.504380LSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113
J. Simecek10
LSep 30 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011321142M. Holub1.91911114113WSep 30 · 14:30J. Holubec1.61111110772J. Simecek2.20491211113WSep 28 · 13:28D. Langer1.73128161162J. Simecek2.001011185113LSep 28 · 12:00D. Langer2.1011117113J. Simecek1.67841191WSep 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.7379100J. Simecek2.001111123WSep 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.6111116113J. Schwan2.20781171WSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101WSep 20 · 12:00J. Simecek1.731112113D. Langer2.0091090WSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113LSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113
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