TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Langer vs Jakub Simecek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118114711119––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 55.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 0–2 Jakub Simecek Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1721 vs Simecek 1673
Langer
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 100% vs Simecek 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 90% vs Simecek 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +6 · Simecek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Simecek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.10 / Simecek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Simecek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206595
Langer2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Simecek1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 74 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it70% 48 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLanger0wins
AwaySimecek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSimecek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricLangerSimecekL − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.041.0−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 180 vs 151 / 28067.2%53.9%121 / 180 vs 151 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekLanger 2.10/Simecek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 20 · 12:00D. Langer2891090J. Simecek341112113
LSep 19 · 08:00D. Langer481210111142J. Simecek48141256113
D. Langer10
WSep 28 · 11:30J. Schwan2.63118101162D. Langer1.44711127113WSep 28 · 10:00D. Langer1.801111113L. Martinak1.916480WSep 26 · 21:30D. Langer1.80116911113A. Walek1.9171111452WSep 26 · 20:00D. Machander2.5079100D. Langer1.501111123WSep 26 · 19:00R. Vavrecka2.63119881D. Langer1.4481111113WSep 26 · 18:30D. Langer1.6771111113A. Walek2.10119761LSep 26 · 17:30D. Langer1.686750A. Walek2.051111113WSep 26 · 16:30D. Langer1.8311611113A. Walek1.83711661WSep 26 · 15:00D. Langer1.571113113J. Schwan2.2561180WSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113
J. Simecek10
WSep 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.7379100J. Simecek2.001111123WSep 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.6111116113J. Schwan2.20781171WSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101WSep 20 · 12:00J. Simecek1.731112113D. Langer2.0091090WSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113LSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113WSep 19 · 09:30A. Walek1.90111171192J. Simecek1.80913117113WSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110WSep 19 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8011812113A. Walek1.919111071
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