TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Viktor Vejvoda vs Adam Brazda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911115511117711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:23 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 9–5 Adam Brazda Adam Brazda has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2354.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1623 vs Brazda 1669
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 40% vs Brazda 20%
Vejvoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 60% vs Brazda 20%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda +2 · Brazda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.666 / Brazda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brazda)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216639
Vejvoda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 169 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it92% 81 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it83% 113 of 136
Brazda2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda7wins
AwayBrazda3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda100%3 of 3
AwayBrazda42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda3Brazda7n = 10Brazda took 7 of 10
S2Vejvoda7Brazda3n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S3Vejvoda7Brazda3n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S4Vejvoda5Brazda2n = 7Vejvoda took 5 of 7
S5Vejvoda2Brazda1n = 3Vejvoda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaBrazdaV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.4+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 897 vs 179 / 38452.2%46.6%468 / 897 vs 179 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVejvoda 1.67/Brazda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 15:30V. Vejvoda3851111113A. Brazda32114981
LAug 11 · 20:00V. Vejvoda4029111172A. Brazda48111169113
WApr 13 · 16:00V. Vejvoda4071111113A. Brazda34117971
WMar 3 · 17:30V. Vejvoda331111113A. Brazda209470
LFeb 11 · 20:00V. Vejvoda1835100A. Brazda341111123
LOct 28 · 15:00V. Vejvoda31611951A. Brazda4211911113
WAug 5 · 17:00V. Vejvoda331111113A. Brazda186570
WAug 5 · 16:00V. Vejvoda4011126113A. Brazda357101171
WAug 4 · 17:30V. Vejvoda507111110113A. Brazda4711791282
WAug 4 · 14:00V. Vejvoda49971111113A. Brazda4411117962
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113WSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113LSep 30 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.739570M. Sychra2.001111113LSep 30 · 07:30M. Regner2.10111186113V. Vejvoda1.6775111152LSep 30 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.83381161J. Zuzanek1.8311119113WSep 27 · 21:30V. Vejvoda2.75111110133M. Pikous1.402512111LSep 27 · 20:00M. Pikous1.4471111113V. Vejvoda2.63117481WSep 27 · 19:00R. Pacha1.676480V. Vejvoda2.101111113WSep 27 · 18:30V. Vejvoda1.73118911113M. Sychra2.0071111562WSep 25 · 13:30V. Vejvoda1.9351111113J. Zuzanek1.77118851
A. Brazda10
WSep 30 · 12:00A. Brazda1.671211113J. Zuzanek2.1010890WSep 30 · 10:00A. Brazda2.25114115123M. Sychra1.57511811102LSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:00A. Brazda2.5097111162R. Urbaniec1.50111177113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Vejvoda
Nothing scheduled
A. Brazda
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