TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Pikous vs Viktor Vejvoda 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117114118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marcel Pikous at 63.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 15–4 Viktor Vejvoda Viktor Vejvoda has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pikous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Pikous
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pikous 1603 vs Vejvoda 1644
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pikous 60% vs Vejvoda 100%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pikous 60% vs Vejvoda 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pikous +1 · Vejvoda +6
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pikous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 1.44 / Vejvoda 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pikous)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200665
Pikous1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 101 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 53 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Vejvoda2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous8wins
AwayVejvoda2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikous87.5%7 of 8
AwayVejvodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous8Vejvoda2n = 10Pikous took 8 of 10
S2Pikous7Vejvoda3n = 10Pikous took 7 of 10
S3Pikous5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Pikous5Vejvoda2n = 7Pikous took 5 of 7
S5Pikous3Vejvoda2n = 5Pikous took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousVejvodaP − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.833.1+9.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 686 vs 469 / 89552.6%52.4%361 / 686 vs 469 / 895Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousPikous 1.44/Vejvoda 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 18:00M. Pikous46811511113V. Vejvoda4211611682
WJul 22 · 16:00M. Pikous43111011113V. Vejvoda24512161
WJul 6 · 19:30M. Pikous50119118113V. Vejvoda4581171182
WJun 22 · 19:00M. Pikous43111110113V. Vejvoda28841241
WApr 17 · 19:30M. Pikous521110911113V. Vejvoda3921211592
LMar 15 · 00:30M. Pikous501111612102V. Vejvoda52871114123
LMar 7 · 03:30M. Pikous4551191192V. Vejvoda45115117113
WMar 3 · 16:30M. Pikous331111113V. Vejvoda184680
WDec 13 · 09:00M. Pikous331111113V. Vejvoda208840
WOct 28 · 16:30M. Pikous331111113V. Vejvoda186480
M. Pikous10
WSep 27 · 19:30M. Sychra2.2061181482M. Pikous1.611181112113LSep 27 · 18:00M. Pikous2.10113251R. Pacha1.6771111113WSep 24 · 21:00M. Pikous2.001141110123J. Louda1.73711512102WSep 24 · 20:00J. Louda1.73781171M. Pikous2.0011114113LSep 24 · 19:00D. Hofman1.67127113113M. Pikous2.10101191192LSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113WSep 23 · 21:30M. Pikous1.531311113S. Kasnik2.3811560LSep 23 · 20:30M. Bittner1.5361111113M. Pikous2.38117891WSep 23 · 19:30M. Pikous1.571111113S. Kasnik2.257860WSep 23 · 18:30D. Hofman1.8052111112M. Pikous1.91111188113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 27 · 19:00R. Pacha1.676480V. Vejvoda2.101111113WSep 27 · 18:30V. Vejvoda1.73118911113M. Sychra2.0071111562WSep 25 · 13:30V. Vejvoda1.9351111113J. Zuzanek1.77118851WSep 25 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.80111188113M. Sychra1.9187111152WSep 25 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.801211113M. Vondrak1.9110560WSep 25 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.67101280V. Vejvoda2.101214113LSep 24 · 12:59V. Vejvoda2.00104111282M. Klement1.731211810113LSep 24 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.67111411113V. Vejvoda2.10616871WSep 24 · 11:00M. Regner2.001011951V. Vejvoda1.7312911113LSep 24 · 10:30V. Vejvoda2.1046171182M. Klement1.671111157113
Upcoming Matches
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