TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sychra vs Marcel Pikous 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111188111412811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Marcel Pikous at 58.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 8–18 Marcel Pikous Martin Sychra has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pikous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-18 in 26
Pikous
Correct
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1595 vs Pikous 1592
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Pikous 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Pikous 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Pikous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pikous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.20 / Pikous 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pikous)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201214
Sychra2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 146 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back27% 47 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 95
Pikous1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 101 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 53 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayPikous5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra71.4%5 of 7
AwayPikous100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra7Pikous3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S2Sychra5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S4Sychra4Pikous3n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S5Sychra1Pikous3n = 4Pikous took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraPikousS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.5−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime806 / 1536 vs 360 / 68552.5%52.6%806 / 1536 vs 360 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousSychra 2.20/Pikous 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra4111118113M. Pikous31931181
LSep 5 · 23:00M. Sychra217680M. Pikous331111113
WSep 5 · 14:00M. Sychra3911512113M. Pikous388111091
WAug 20 · 23:30M. Sychra331111113M. Pikous195680
LAug 16 · 02:30M. Sychra3741111832M. Pikous49118811113
WAug 9 · 03:28M. Sychra4311119123M. Pikous336611101
LAug 8 · 22:30M. Sychra136520M. Pikous331111113
LAug 6 · 00:00M. Sychra4912911892M. Pikous521011911113
LAug 3 · 01:00M. Sychra45119111132M. Pikous48711136113
WJul 15 · 18:30M. Sychra49111197113M. Pikous4999111192
M. Sychra10
LSep 27 · 18:30V. Vejvoda1.73118911113M. Sychra2.0071111562LSep 27 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.9591111113M. Sychra1.75113441WSep 27 · 16:00J. Zuzanek1.831111116112M. Sychra1.83613411133WSep 27 · 15:00K. Schopf1.5791170M. Sychra2.251113113LSep 27 · 14:30M. Sychra1.57681161M. Nohejl2.2511119113WSep 25 · 12:58M. Sychra1.917121111113M. Vondrak1.8011148792LSep 25 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.80111188113M. Sychra1.9187111152LSep 25 · 11:30M. Sychra1.83641211102J. Zuzanek1.831111108123WSep 25 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.80117991M. Sychra1.9171111113LSep 25 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.0012113113M. Sychra1.731081191
M. Pikous10
WSep 27 · 20:00M. Pikous1.4471111113V. Vejvoda2.63117481LSep 27 · 18:00M. Pikous2.10113251R. Pacha1.6771111113WSep 24 · 21:00M. Pikous2.001141110123J. Louda1.73711512102WSep 24 · 20:00J. Louda1.73781171M. Pikous2.0011114113LSep 24 · 19:00D. Hofman1.67127113113M. Pikous2.10101191192LSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113WSep 23 · 21:30M. Pikous1.531311113S. Kasnik2.3811560LSep 23 · 20:30M. Bittner1.5361111113M. Pikous2.38117891WSep 23 · 19:30M. Pikous1.571111113S. Kasnik2.257860WSep 23 · 18:30D. Hofman1.8052111112M. Pikous1.91111188113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sychra
M. Pikous
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.