TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Sebastian Kasnik vs Martin Sychra 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118311119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9
75 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 18–22 Martin Sychra Sebastian Kasnik has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kasnik beat Sychra 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.00 / Sychra 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sychra)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13193522
Kasnik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 119 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 92
Sychra1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 223 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it80% 153 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik2wins
AwaySychra8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik16.7%1 of 6
AwaySychra75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Sychra4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Kasnik5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S4Kasnik2Sychra7n = 9Sychra took 7 of 9
S5Kasnik0Sychra3n = 3Sychra took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikSychraK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.7−4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 1011 vs 802 / 152646.9%52.6%474 / 1011 vs 802 / 1526Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraKasnik 2.00/Sychra 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 08:30S. Kasnik331111113M. Sychra215880
LSep 24 · 02:00S. Kasnik45111151082M. Sychra44281112113
LSep 22 · 19:00S. Kasnik4211841182M. Sychra51911119113
LSep 21 · 10:30S. Kasnik37881291M. Sychra43111110113
LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik29116841M. Sychra4291111113
LSep 21 · 08:30S. Kasnik3511211472M. Sychra46511811113
LSep 12 · 13:01S. Kasnik311155101M. Sychra4171111123
LSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik388911101M. Sychra4311119123
LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik29911451M. Sychra4111811113
WSep 11 · 00:00S. Kasnik4181111113M. Sychra35116991
S. Kasnik10
WSep 25 · 08:30M. Sychra1.735880S. Kasnik2.001111113LSep 25 · 07:30S. Kasnik1.6751161152J. Tazler2.10117119113LSep 25 · 06:30M. Vondrak2.2511127133S. Kasnik1.5761011111WSep 24 · 21:30S. Kasnik1.651111163D. Hofman2.1046140WSep 24 · 20:30D. Hofman2.50611681S. Kasnik1.5011711113WSep 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.201111113J. Louda1.619880WSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113LSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 02:00S. Kasnik2.00111151082M. Sychra1.73281112113LSep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.2511175962R. Wagner1.576151111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 25 · 08:30M. Sychra1.735880S. Kasnik2.001111113LSep 25 · 07:00M. Sychra1.83111231192M. Vondrak1.83614119113LSep 25 · 06:00J. Tazler1.731111119113M. Sychra2.0071381192WSep 24 · 02:00S. Kasnik2.00111151082M. Sychra1.73281112113LSep 24 · 00:30M. Sychra2.001159101J. Tazler1.7351111123LSep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.252820T. Franek1.571111113LSep 23 · 22:00R. Wagner2.1011118113M. Sychra1.67761191LSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113LSep 23 · 02:00M. Sychra2.001111810102V. Vejvoda1.73791112123WSep 23 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57111178113M. Klement2.2579111132
Upcoming Matches
S. Kasnik
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M. Sychra
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