TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Sebastian Kasnik vs Martin Sychra 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121185111012811
Martin Sychra
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 17–21 Martin Sychra Sebastian Kasnik has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-21 in 38
Sychra
Correct
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1539 vs Sychra 1640
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 40% vs Sychra 0%
Kasnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 30% vs Sychra 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik -2 · Sychra -5
Sychra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.00 / Sychra 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sychra)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178945
Kasnik2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 115 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 90
Sychra1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 223 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it80% 154 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik3wins
AwaySychra7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik33.3%2 of 6
AwaySychra75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Sychra4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik3Sychra7n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Kasnik5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S4Kasnik3Sychra6n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S5Kasnik1Sychra2n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikSychraK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.7−5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 1007 vs 801 / 152246.9%52.6%472 / 1007 vs 801 / 1522Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraKasnik 2.00/Sychra 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 19:00S. Kasnik4211841182M. Sychra51911119113
LSep 21 · 10:30S. Kasnik37881291M. Sychra43111110113
LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik29116841M. Sychra4291111113
LSep 21 · 08:30S. Kasnik3511211472M. Sychra46511811113
LSep 12 · 13:01S. Kasnik311155101M. Sychra4171111123
LSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik388911101M. Sychra4311119123
LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik29911451M. Sychra4111811113
WSep 11 · 24:00S. Kasnik4181111113M. Sychra35116991
WSep 8 · 07:00S. Kasnik41112611113M. Sychra4791111882
WSep 1 · 22:30S. Kasnik331111113M. Sychra183960
S. Kasnik10
LSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.2511175962R. Wagner1.576151111113LSep 24 · 24:00T. Franek2.001211711113S. Kasnik1.7314511442WSep 23 · 22:30J. Tazler2.10813671S. Kasnik1.67111111113LSep 23 · 21:30M. Pikous1.531311113S. Kasnik2.3811560WSep 23 · 20:00S. Kasnik1.911111123D. Hofman1.8048100LSep 23 · 19:30M. Pikous1.571111113S. Kasnik2.257860WSep 23 · 18:00S. Kasnik2.101111113M. Bittner1.678720LSep 22 · 21:00M. Vondrak1.821191110113S. Kasnik1.8881191222LSep 22 · 20:30S. Kasnik1.736480M. Skakal2.001111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 24 · 24:30M. Sychra2.001159101J. Tazler1.7351111123LSep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.252820T. Franek1.571111113LSep 23 · 22:00R. Wagner2.1011118113M. Sychra1.67761191LSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113LSep 23 · 02:00M. Sychra2.001111810102V. Vejvoda1.73791112123WSep 23 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57111178113M. Klement2.2579111132WSep 23 · 24:00M. Skakal2.00911871M. Sychra1.7311311113WSep 22 · 22:30M. Regner1.73614100M. Sychra2.001116123WSep 22 · 21:30M. Sychra1.801211113M. Skakal1.9010870LSep 22 · 20:00M. Vondrak1.801191011113M. Sychra1.9161112782
Upcoming Matches
S. Kasnik
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