TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Sebastian Kasnik vs Martin Bittner 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117112––––
Martin Bittner
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:05 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Bittner to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Martin Bittner at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 1–2 Martin Bittner Sebastian Kasnik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bittner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1546 vs Bittner 1544
Kasnik
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 20% vs Bittner 40%
Bittner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 40% vs Bittner 20%
Kasnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik -3 · Bittner -1
Kasnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bittner) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.10 / Bittner 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bittner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178841
Kasnik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 115 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 90
Bittner1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 09) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKasnik1wins
AwayBittner2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBittner leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik1Bittner2n = 3Bittner took 2 of 3
S2Kasnik1Bittner2n = 3Bittner took 2 of 3
S3Kasnik0Bittner3n = 3Bittner took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricKasnikBittnerK − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match28.334.7−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 1000 vs 35 / 7246.9%48.6%469 / 1000 vs 35 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BittnerKasnik 2.10/Bittner 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Bittner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 21 · 08:30S. Kasnik157440M. Bittner331111113
LJun 19 · 20:58S. Kasnik258890M. Bittner331111113
WJun 19 · 19:30S. Kasnik45111148113M. Bittner3871111182
S. Kasnik10
LSep 22 · 21:00M. Vondrak1.821191110113S. Kasnik1.8881191222LSep 22 · 20:30S. Kasnik1.736480M. Skakal2.001111113LSep 22 · 19:00S. Kasnik2.0011841182M. Sychra1.73911119113WSep 22 · 18:00M. Vondrak2.38911131152S. Kasnik1.53116158113LSep 22 · 09:04S. Kasnik2.5011841192J. Zuzanek1.50411116113LSep 22 · 08:30J. Louda1.7311114113S. Kasnik2.00651151LSep 22 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.38791291J. Zuzanek1.53111110113WSep 22 · 06:30R. Wagner1.536111171S. Kasnik2.3811713113WSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192WSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113
M. Bittner10
LSep 9 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.871311113M. Bittner1.8311690WSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101
Upcoming Matches
S. Kasnik
Sep 23 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.25M. Pikous1.57—Sep 23 · 20:00S. Kasnik1.91D. Hofman1.80—Sep 23 · 22:30S. Kasnik1.67J. Tazler2.10—Sep 24 · 24:00S. Kasnik1.73T. Franek2.00—Sep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.25R. Wagner1.57—Sep 24 · 02:00S. Kasnik2.00M. Sychra1.73—Sep 24 · 18:30S. Kasnik2.25M. Pikous1.57—Sep 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.20J. Louda1.61—Sep 24 · 20:30S. Kasnik1.91D. Hofman1.80—
M. Bittner
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