TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Pikous vs Robin Pacha 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117311211511––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Robin Pacha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 61 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Robin Pacha at 57.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 13–20 Robin Pacha Marcel Pikous has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-20 in 33
Pacha
Correct
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pikous 1602 vs Pacha 1656
Pacha
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pikous 60% vs Pacha 80%
Pacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pikous 50% vs Pacha 70%
Pacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pikous +2 · Pacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pacha) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pacha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 2.10 / Pacha 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pacha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199223
Pikous2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 42 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back27% 14 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Pacha1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 51 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous3wins
AwayPacha7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPacha leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikous37.5%3 of 8
AwayPachan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous8Pacha2n = 10Pikous took 8 of 10
S2Pikous5Pacha5n = 10split evenly
S3Pikous6Pacha4n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S4Pikous1Pacha7n = 8Pacha took 7 of 8
S5Pikous1Pacha5n = 6Pacha took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousPachaPikous − PachaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.0−0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousPachaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 688 vs 179 / 32052.9%55.9%364 / 688 vs 179 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PachaPikous 2.10/Pacha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Pacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 18:00M. Pikous331111113R. Pacha215880
WJul 19 · 20:30M. Pikous501111710113R. Pacha4047111262
LJul 12 · 02:30M. Pikous381198101R. Pacha4281111123
LApr 4 · 20:30M. Pikous34711971R. Pacha3611311113
LApr 3 · 18:00M. Pikous4211611682R. Pacha46611711113
WFeb 7 · 21:00M. Pikous331111113R. Pacha224990
LDec 14 · 19:00M. Pikous4111771152R. Pacha42711112113
LDec 10 · 19:00M. Pikous46101115372R. Pacha541271311113
LDec 7 · 19:00M. Pikous4511811962R. Pacha47611811113
LDec 4 · 19:00M. Pikous3411611422R. Pacha50811911113
M. Pikous10
WSep 27 · 19:30M. Sychra2.2061181482M. Pikous1.611181112113WSep 24 · 21:00M. Pikous2.001141110123J. Louda1.73711512102WSep 24 · 20:00J. Louda1.73781171M. Pikous2.0011114113LSep 24 · 19:00D. Hofman1.67127113113M. Pikous2.10101191192LSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113WSep 23 · 21:30M. Pikous1.531311113S. Kasnik2.3811560LSep 23 · 20:30M. Bittner1.5361111113M. Pikous2.38117891WSep 23 · 19:30M. Pikous1.571111113S. Kasnik2.257860WSep 23 · 18:30D. Hofman1.8052111112M. Pikous1.91111188113LSep 22 · 17:30V. Kolar1.73111012113M. Pikous2.009121061
R. Pacha10
LSep 27 · 19:00R. Pacha1.676480V. Vejvoda2.101111113LSep 20 · 21:30R. Pacha1.43129511102M. Klement2.601011115123WSep 20 · 20:30J. Zuzanek2.5011611972R. Pacha1.50611811113WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pacha1.44111111143M. Klement2.639138121WSep 20 · 18:30V. Vejvoda2.009111141R. Pacha1.7311813113WSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071WSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861LSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:00J. Zuzanek3.0012911173R. Pacha1.3610119151WSep 13 · 21:29J. Tazler3.00101211992R. Pacha1.361210811113
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