TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Robin Pacha
Home
1.43
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12109115111151012
Milan Klement
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobin Pacha above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Robin Pacha at 68.4%
96 points played in total.
H2H Robin Pacha 25–6 Milan Klement Milan Klement has won 6 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pacha beat Klement 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Pacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-6 in 31
Pacha
Wrong
gap of 19 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pacha 1667 vs Klement 1662
Pacha
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pacha 100% vs Klement 60%
Pacha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pacha 70% vs Klement 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pacha +5 · Klement +1
Pacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pacha) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPacha 1.43 / Klement 2.60
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pacha)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13166605
Pacha1.43
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 49 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Klement2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePacha8wins
AwayKlement2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPacha leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePacha80%4 of 5
AwayKlement20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pacha5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S2Pacha6Klement4n = 10Pacha took 6 of 10
S3Pacha6Klement4n = 10Pacha took 6 of 10
S4Pacha7Klement1n = 8Pacha took 7 of 8
S5Pacha2Klement1n = 3Pacha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPachaKlementP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.737.6+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPachaKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 320 vs 455 / 88955.9%51.2%179 / 320 vs 455 / 889Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PachaPacha 1.43/Klement 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Pacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 21:30R. Pacha47129511102M. Klement491011115123
WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pacha47111111143M. Klement429138121
WJul 25 · 20:00R. Pacha501071111113M. Klement4712118882
WJul 14 · 19:30R. Pacha4181111113M. Klement28115661
WJun 13 · 20:00R. Pacha4011117113M. Klement34791171
WMay 17 · 19:00R. Pacha351311113M. Klement2911990
LApr 19 · 20:00R. Pacha2899100M. Klement341111123
WApr 4 · 21:28R. Pacha44111210113M. Klement369101251
WApr 4 · 18:00R. Pacha501111116113M. Klement4413481182
WMar 28 · 20:00R. Pacha3521111113M. Klement33117691
R. Pacha10
WSep 20 · 20:30J. Zuzanek2.5011611972R. Pacha1.50611811113WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pacha1.44111111143M. Klement2.639138121WSep 20 · 18:30V. Vejvoda2.009111141R. Pacha1.7311813113WSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071WSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861LSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:00J. Zuzanek3.0012911173R. Pacha1.3610119151WSep 13 · 21:29J. Tazler3.00101211992R. Pacha1.361210811113WSep 13 · 20:30R. Pacha1.44111111113L. Tonar2.63613771LSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113
M. Klement10
WSep 20 · 20:00M. Klement1.61111211113V. Vejvoda2.20814481LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pacha1.44111111143M. Klement2.639138121WSep 20 · 18:00M. Klement1.50971111113J. Zuzanek2.5011118492LSep 18 · 03:28M. Klement1.8061030T. Franek1.911112113WSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030WSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement1.83118127113M. Skakal1.83811101162WSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 22:30V. Vejvoda2.10121268113M. Klement1.671010111192WSep 17 · 16:59M. Vondrak1.9189110M. Klement1.801111133LSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113
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