TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vlastimil Kolar vs Marcel Pikous 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vlastimil Kolar
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121210116––
Marcel Pikous
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Kolar to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Kolar above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vlastimil Kolar at 65.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Kolar 2–2 Marcel Pikous Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolar beat Pikous 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1746 vs Pikous 1588
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 100% vs Pikous 40%
Kolar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 80% vs Pikous 30%
Kolar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +8 · Pikous -2
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolar) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.73 / Pikous 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kolar)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179614
Kolar1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Pikous2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 39 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolar2wins
AwayPikous2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar2Pikous2n = 4split evenly
S2Kolar3Pikous1n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
S3Kolar3Pikous1n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
S4Kolar0Pikous3n = 3Pikous took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolarPikousK − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 192 vs 361 / 68352.6%52.9%101 / 192 vs 361 / 683Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarKolar 1.73/Pikous 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 22 · 16:30V. Kolar44411117113M. Pikous4611691192
LMay 14 · 16:30V. Kolar34611891M. Pikous4211911113
WApr 3 · 21:30V. Kolar331111113M. Pikous134450
LApr 3 · 20:30V. Kolar46111112482M. Pikous527131011113
V. Kolar10
WSep 22 · 16:30M. Pikous1.8311691192V. Kolar1.83411117113WSep 22 · 15:30V. Kolar2.2571113113V. Nohejl1.571141131WSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 22 · 13:30V. Kolar1.771111113J. Zuzanek1.931190WSep 22 · 12:30R. Wagner2.2011711792V. Kolar1.61811611113WSep 22 · 11:30V. Kolar1.8014116113M. Regner1.911261191WSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113
M. Pikous10
LSep 22 · 16:30M. Pikous1.8311691192V. Kolar1.83411117113LSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113WSep 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl2.756630M. Pikous1.401111113LSep 17 · 17:28R. Urbaniec1.8311139113M. Pikous1.835111191WSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113WSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.7512114113M. Pikous1.401041171LSep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra1.9611118113M. Pikous1.67931181LSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113
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