TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vlastimil Kolar vs Jiri Zuzanek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vlastimil Kolar
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111111119––––
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
1.93
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Kolar above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 44 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vlastimil Kolar at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Kolar 2–2 Jiri Zuzanek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kolar beat Zuzanek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1696 vs Zuzanek 1681
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 80% vs Zuzanek 60%
Kolar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 40% vs Zuzanek 60%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +4 · Zuzanek +2
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.77 / Zuzanek 1.93
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zuzanek)+6.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177639
Kolar1.77
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Zuzanek1.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 115 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back32% 35 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolar2wins
AwayZuzanek2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolarn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZuzanek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar1Zuzanek3n = 4Zuzanek took 3 of 4
S2Kolar2Zuzanek2n = 4split evenly
S3Kolar2Zuzanek2n = 4split evenly
S4Kolar1Zuzanek2n = 3Zuzanek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolarZuzanekK − ZBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match35.238.0−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 188 vs 547 / 108351.6%50.5%97 / 188 vs 547 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekKolar 1.77/Zuzanek 1.93
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 22 · 10:30V. Kolar4171211113J. Zuzanek341110941
LJun 9 · 12:59V. Kolar177460J. Zuzanek331111113
LJun 9 · 12:30V. Kolar27311581J. Zuzanek4011711113
WApr 3 · 10:30V. Kolar561481112113J. Zuzanek45121131452
V. Kolar10
WSep 22 · 12:30R. Wagner2.2011711792V. Kolar1.61811611113WSep 22 · 11:30V. Kolar1.8014116113M. Regner1.911261191WSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Wagner1.578470J. Zuzanek2.251111113LSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 22 · 09:04S. Kasnik2.5011841192J. Zuzanek1.50411116113LSep 22 · 08:00J. Zuzanek2.00712861R. Wagner1.73111011113WSep 22 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.38791291J. Zuzanek1.53111110113LSep 22 · 06:00J. Zuzanek1.838690J. Louda1.831111113LSep 21 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8511111281M. Sychra1.8513714113WSep 21 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.833111210113M. Sychra1.83116101252WSep 21 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2511491142J. Zuzanek1.57811114113
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