TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Regner vs Jiri Zuzanek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911911711––
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 39–29 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 29 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zuzanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-29 in 68
Regner
Wrong
gap of 10 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1612 vs Zuzanek 1662
Zuzanek
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Zuzanek 60%
Zuzanek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 30% vs Zuzanek 60%
Zuzanek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Zuzanek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.83 / Zuzanek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Regner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168840
Regner1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zuzanek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner4wins
AwayZuzanek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZuzanek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner80%4 of 5
AwayZuzanek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Regner4Zuzanek6n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10
S3Regner3Zuzanek7n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S4Regner2Zuzanek4n = 6Zuzanek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerZuzanekR − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.6−2.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 1057 vs 546 / 108248.6%50.5%514 / 1057 vs 546 / 1082Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.83/Zuzanek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zuzanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 10:00M. Regner218940J. Zuzanek331111113
WSep 19 · 08:30M. Regner491111610113J. Zuzanek4388111242
LSep 17 · 08:58M. Regner371112861J. Zuzanek45131011113
WSep 17 · 08:30M. Regner4111811113J. Zuzanek36911791
LAug 31 · 11:00M. Regner2141160J. Zuzanek351113113
WAug 13 · 01:30M. Regner48141011133J. Zuzanek4112126111
LJul 20 · 07:30M. Regner194870J. Zuzanek331111113
LJul 15 · 10:00M. Regner32611871J. Zuzanek3911611113
WJul 14 · 12:30M. Regner331111113J. Zuzanek187560
LJul 8 · 13:30M. Regner4011910101J. Zuzanek4381112123
M. Regner10
LSep 22 · 11:30V. Kolar1.8014116113M. Regner1.911261191WSep 22 · 10:00M. Regner2.501111113R. Wagner1.508690LSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192LSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113LSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113M. Regner1.838940WSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 22 · 11:00R. Wagner1.578470J. Zuzanek2.251111113LSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 22 · 09:04S. Kasnik2.5011841192J. Zuzanek1.50411116113LSep 22 · 08:00J. Zuzanek2.00712861R. Wagner1.73111011113WSep 22 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.38791291J. Zuzanek1.53111110113LSep 22 · 06:00J. Zuzanek1.838690J. Louda1.831111113LSep 21 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8511111281M. Sychra1.8513714113WSep 21 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.833111210113M. Sychra1.83116101252WSep 21 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2511491142J. Zuzanek1.57811114113WSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113M. Regner1.838940
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