TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vlastimil Kolar vs Michal Regner 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vlastimil Kolar
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412116611119––
Michal Regner
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVlastimil Kolar above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Regner at 57.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Kolar 4–3 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1655 vs Regner 1632
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 40% vs Regner 20%
Kolar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 20% vs Regner 40%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +2 · Regner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolar) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.80 / Regner 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolar)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168862
Kolar1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Regner1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 113 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKolar4wins
AwayRegner3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKolar leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar66.7%2 of 3
AwayRegner50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar3Regner4n = 7Regner took 4 of 7
S2Kolar5Regner2n = 7Kolar took 5 of 7
S3Kolar1Regner6n = 7Regner took 6 of 7
S4Kolar5Regner1n = 6Kolar took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKolarRegnerK − RBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.438.7−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 186 vs 514 / 105651.1%48.7%95 / 186 vs 514 / 1056Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarKolar 1.80/Regner 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 12 · 17:00V. Kolar207670M. Regner331111113
WJul 12 · 15:30V. Kolar491111511113M. Regner4213511762
WJun 22 · 12:30V. Kolar3711114113M. Regner35871191
WJun 6 · 16:00V. Kolar3741111113M. Regner33118771
LMar 31 · 10:30V. Kolar381011891M. Regner4012611113
WFeb 23 · 18:30V. Kolar4211119113M. Regner32781161
LFeb 23 · 16:00V. Kolar46111141462M. Regner569131112113
V. Kolar10
WSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492
M. Regner10
LSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113WSep 22 · 10:00M. Regner2.501111113R. Wagner1.508690LSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192LSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113LSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113M. Regner1.838940WSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132
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