TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Brazda vs Jiri Zuzanek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Adam Brazda @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Adam Brazda at 58.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 19–16 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:3558.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Brazda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Brazda
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1669 vs Zuzanek 1538
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 40% vs Zuzanek 0%
Brazda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 30% vs Zuzanek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda +2 · Zuzanek -5
Zuzanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Brazda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 1.666 / Zuzanek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Brazda)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216849
Brazda1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 34 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Zuzanek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back29% 35 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrazda7wins
AwayZuzanek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrazda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrazda66.7%4 of 6
AwayZuzanek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brazda6Zuzanek4n = 10Brazda took 6 of 10
S2Brazda6Zuzanek4n = 10Brazda took 6 of 10
S3Brazda7Zuzanek3n = 10Brazda took 7 of 10
S4Brazda5Zuzanek1n = 6Brazda took 5 of 6
S5Brazda2Zuzanek1n = 3Brazda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrazdaZuzanekB − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.6+4.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 384 vs 544 / 109046.6%49.9%179 / 384 vs 544 / 1090Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaBrazda 1.67/Zuzanek 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Brazda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Adam Brazda @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
3–0
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 8 · 17:00A. Brazda4491212113J. Zuzanek3911101081
WJun 8 · 14:30A. Brazda361111143J. Zuzanek2594120
LMay 27 · 17:30A. Brazda32581181J. Zuzanek4011117113
LMay 27 · 14:00A. Brazda4612591192J. Zuzanek491011116113
WMay 20 · 15:00A. Brazda549111211113J. Zuzanek49111310782
WMay 18 · 16:58A. Brazda331111113J. Zuzanek217770
WMay 18 · 15:30A. Brazda361114113J. Zuzanek2651290
WMar 10 · 15:00A. Brazda45911311113J. Zuzanek4411911762
WFeb 2 · 18:17A. Brazda381111163J. Zuzanek2785140
A. Brazda10
WSep 30 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.6791151172A. Brazda2.10115117113WSep 30 · 10:00A. Brazda2.25114115123M. Sychra1.57511811102LSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:00A. Brazda2.5097111162R. Urbaniec1.50111177113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 30 · 11:00M. Sychra1.801131111113J. Zuzanek1.9113119892LSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113LSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113LSep 30 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.8361490M. Regner1.831116113LSep 30 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.107940M. Sychra1.671111113WSep 30 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.83381161J. Zuzanek1.8311119113LSep 29 · 17:00M. Wagner1.24111211113J. Zuzanek3.75614941WSep 29 · 16:30J. Zuzanek2.3811911113P. Saleny1.53911691LSep 29 · 15:00J. Zuzanek2.38511131192M. Wagner1.53115159113LSep 29 · 14:30M. Pikous1.3615611113J. Zuzanek3.001311541
Upcoming Matches
A. Brazda
J. Zuzanek
Nothing scheduled
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