TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Viktor Vejvoda vs Marcel Pikous 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11211510121311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 75 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Marcel Pikous at 67.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 4–16 Marcel Pikous Viktor Vejvoda has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pikous beat Vejvoda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pikous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-16 in 20
Pikous
Wrong
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1631 vs Pikous 1616
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 80% vs Pikous 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 70% vs Pikous 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -1 · Pikous +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pikous) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 2.75 / Pikous 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Pikous)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13208490
Vejvoda2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Pikous1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 101 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 53 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda2wins
AwayPikous8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda33.3%1 of 3
AwayPikous85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda3Pikous7n = 10Pikous took 7 of 10
S2Vejvoda3Pikous7n = 10Pikous took 7 of 10
S3Vejvoda5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S4Vejvoda2Pikous6n = 8Pikous took 6 of 8
S5Vejvoda2Pikous3n = 5Pikous took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaPikousV − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.343.5−9.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 896 vs 362 / 68752.3%52.7%469 / 896 vs 362 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousVejvoda 2.75/Pikous 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 20:00V. Vejvoda30117481M. Pikous4071111113
LAug 1 · 18:00V. Vejvoda4211611682M. Pikous46811511113
LJul 22 · 16:00V. Vejvoda24512161M. Pikous43111011113
LJul 6 · 19:30V. Vejvoda4581171182M. Pikous50119118113
LJun 22 · 19:00V. Vejvoda28841241M. Pikous43111110113
LApr 17 · 19:30V. Vejvoda3921211592M. Pikous521110911113
WMar 15 · 00:30V. Vejvoda52871114123M. Pikous501111612102
WMar 7 · 03:30V. Vejvoda45115117113M. Pikous4551191192
LMar 3 · 16:30V. Vejvoda184680M. Pikous331111113
LDec 13 · 09:00V. Vejvoda208840M. Pikous331111113
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 27 · 20:00M. Pikous1.4471111113V. Vejvoda2.63117481WSep 27 · 19:00R. Pacha1.676480V. Vejvoda2.101111113WSep 27 · 18:30V. Vejvoda1.73118911113M. Sychra2.0071111562WSep 25 · 13:30V. Vejvoda1.9351111113J. Zuzanek1.77118851WSep 25 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.80111188113M. Sychra1.9187111152WSep 25 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.801211113M. Vondrak1.9110560WSep 25 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.67101280V. Vejvoda2.101214113LSep 24 · 12:59V. Vejvoda2.00104111282M. Klement1.731211810113LSep 24 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.67111411113V. Vejvoda2.10616871WSep 24 · 11:00M. Regner2.001011951V. Vejvoda1.7312911113
M. Pikous10
WSep 27 · 20:00M. Pikous1.4471111113V. Vejvoda2.63117481WSep 27 · 19:30M. Sychra2.2061181482M. Pikous1.611181112113LSep 27 · 18:00M. Pikous2.10113251R. Pacha1.6771111113WSep 24 · 21:00M. Pikous2.001141110123J. Louda1.73711512102WSep 24 · 20:00J. Louda1.73781171M. Pikous2.0011114113LSep 24 · 19:00D. Hofman1.67127113113M. Pikous2.10101191192LSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113WSep 23 · 21:30M. Pikous1.531311113S. Kasnik2.3811560LSep 23 · 20:30M. Bittner1.5361111113M. Pikous2.38117891WSep 23 · 19:30M. Pikous1.571111113S. Kasnik2.257860
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