TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lushchyk vs Oleksandr Ziakun 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114116511117––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 66 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 79.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 18–5 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lushchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Lushchyk
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1725 vs Ziakun 1518
Lushchyk
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 40% vs Ziakun 20%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 30% vs Ziakun 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -1 · Ziakun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.28 / Ziakun 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Lushchyk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13203222
Lushchyk1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 110 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it82% 81 of 99
Ziakun3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk9wins
AwayZiakun1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk100%7 of 7
AwayZiakun33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk7Ziakun3n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S2Lushchyk6Ziakun4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S3Lushchyk7Ziakun3n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Lushchyk6Ziakun1n = 7Lushchyk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykZiakunL − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.7+8.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 800 vs 356 / 75646.4%47.1%371 / 800 vs 356 / 756Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.28/Ziakun 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 09:00A. Lushchyk3811115113O. Ziakun28461171
WJun 28 · 09:30A. Lushchyk351113113O. Ziakun1841130
WFeb 11 · 15:00A. Lushchyk49711812113O. Ziakun41119111002
WJan 20 · 17:30A. Lushchyk6111161111123O. Ziakun53131857102
WJun 28 · 17:06A. Lushchyk3611311113O. Ziakun28511931
WJun 28 · 12:30A. Lushchyk4011117113O. Ziakun31981131
WJun 21 · 13:30A. Lushchyk361114113O. Ziakun2551280
WJun 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk341112113O. Ziakun2451090
WJun 14 · 17:21A. Lushchyk46111013123O. Ziakun4071211101
LJun 14 · 13:30A. Lushchyk37891191O. Ziakun3911116113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 27 · 07:30A. Lushchyk1.57109150M. Hubenko2.251211173WSep 27 · 06:00A. Lushchyk1.441111113O. Syksa2.636470WSep 27 · 04:30A. Lushchyk1.301111113D. Kuzmenko3.406880LSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk1.7391110111S. Chuhai2.0011912133LSep 24 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.221311119113A. Lushchyk4.00111371162LSep 24 · 14:00M. Baday1.1711118113A. Lushchyk4.50541161LSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181WSep 22 · 17:30S. Chuhai2.109680A. Lushchyk1.671111113LSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets2.381111113A. Lushchyk1.537750LSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 27 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.63111111113O. Syksa1.44981381LSep 27 · 07:00S. Aristarkhov1.251111113O. Ziakun3.757550LSep 27 · 05:30O. Ziakun3.0075100M. Hubenko1.361111123LSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113LSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113
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