TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Oleksandr Syksa 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191181113118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 65.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 34–67 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 34 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-67 in 101
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 33 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1512 vs Syksa 1505
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 0% vs Syksa 20%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 30% vs Syksa 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -5 · Syksa -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.63 / Syksa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Syksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13203830
Ziakun2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Syksa1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 247 of 363
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it83% 166 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwaySyksa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun80%4 of 5
AwaySyksa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun6Syksa4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun5Syksa4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunSyksaZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.8+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 754 vs 587 / 111447.1%52.7%355 / 754 vs 587 / 1114Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaZiakun 2.63/Syksa 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun361113123O. Syksa30911100
WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun46111211123O. Syksa375148101
LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun3841111121O. Syksa4311135143
WSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun4011117113O. Syksa33851191
LSep 9 · 10:00O. Ziakun43111111101O. Syksa4713913123
LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun4171210121O. Syksa47111012143
WAug 31 · 07:30O. Ziakun4491112123O. Syksa3511410101
LAug 28 · 09:00O. Ziakun53119111392O. Syksa559111311113
WAug 26 · 07:30O. Ziakun46611711113O. Syksa4011611932
O. Ziakun10
LSep 27 · 09:00A. Lushchyk1.2811115113O. Ziakun3.50461171LSep 27 · 07:00S. Aristarkhov1.251111113O. Ziakun3.757550LSep 27 · 05:30O. Ziakun3.0075100M. Hubenko1.361111123LSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113LSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113
O. Syksa10
LSep 27 · 06:00A. Lushchyk1.441111113O. Syksa2.636470LSep 27 · 05:00S. Aristarkhov1.73911611113O. Syksa2.0011311922LSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882WSep 25 · 09:30O. Syksa1.6791111123O. Kurylenko2.101187101LSep 25 · 08:30O. Syksa1.619770D. Kuzmenko2.201111113LSep 25 · 07:00O. Syksa1.57311791S. Maliuk2.2511511113WSep 25 · 05:00O. Syksa1.17111132O. Lyman4.507951WSep 24 · 11:30O. Syksa1.30111111113S. Miroshnychenko3.40135981LSep 24 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko2.201111113O. Syksa1.618990LSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100
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