TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113115119118––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 76.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 87–44 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 44 of their 131 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-44 in 131
Syksa
Correct
gap of 43 in 131, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1551 vs Miroshnychenko 1367
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -2 · Miroshnychenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.30 / Miroshnychenko 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Syksa)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185307
Syksa1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 245 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it94% 103 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 200
Miroshnychenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa80%4 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Syksa8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Syksa7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S4Syksa6Miroshnychenko2n = 8Syksa took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaMiroshnychenkoS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.033.1+6.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime592 / 1117 vs 308 / 86253%35.7%592 / 1117 vs 308 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.30/Miroshnychenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 11:30O. Syksa331111113S. Miroshnychenko199550
WSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa4211119113S. Miroshnychenko28841151
WSep 10 · 10:30O. Syksa4061111123S. Miroshnychenko311146101
WSep 1 · 11:00O. Syksa4212811113S. Miroshnychenko341011491
WAug 24 · 04:30O. Syksa50981111113S. Miroshnychenko4311118582
WAug 23 · 10:00O. Syksa4181111113S. Miroshnychenko30116941
WAug 21 · 10:00O. Syksa3631111113S. Miroshnychenko32119751
WAug 20 · 06:30O. Syksa331111113S. Miroshnychenko216780
LAug 18 · 06:00O. Syksa4311119752S. Miroshnychenko48961111113
LAug 14 · 07:30O. Syksa408139101S. Miroshnychenko45111111123
O. Syksa10
LSep 24 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko2.201111113O. Syksa1.618990LSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.401711113O. Syksa2.7515860WSep 24 · 06:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.337940LSep 24 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2.101111119113O. Syksa1.6784131172WSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113WSep 23 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5751112113S. Maliuk2.251181071WSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113WSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 24 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko3.0011780O. Lyman1.361311113LSep 24 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.44111011113S. Miroshnychenko2.63912761WSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113LSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113LSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471WSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113
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