TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anna Gorchakova vs Ksenia Tymchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:25 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeAnna Gorchakova to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Ksenia Tymchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Anna Gorchakova at 78.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 34–7 Ksenia Tymchenko Ksenia Tymchenko has won 7 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Gorchakova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-7 in 41
Gorchakova
Correct
gap of 27 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1572 vs Tymchenko 1432
Gorchakova
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 40% vs Tymchenko 20%
Gorchakova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 50% vs Tymchenko 10%
Gorchakova
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Tymchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Gorchakova) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 1.25 / Tymchenko 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Gorchakova)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13201250
Gorchakova1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 51 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Tymchenko3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova9wins
AwayTymchenko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGorchakova leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova100%6 of 6
AwayTymchenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova6Tymchenko4n = 10Gorchakova took 6 of 10
S2Gorchakova8Tymchenko2n = 10Gorchakova took 8 of 10
S3Gorchakova9Tymchenko1n = 10Gorchakova took 9 of 10
S4Gorchakova4Tymchenko2n = 6Gorchakova took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaTymchenkoG − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.031.1+6.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaTymchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 435 vs 132 / 38546.4%34.3%202 / 435 vs 132 / 385Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GorchakovaGorchakova 1.25/Tymchenko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Gorchakova · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 18:35A. Gorchakova331111113K. Tymchenko218760
WSep 4 · 19:05A. Gorchakova331111113K. Tymchenko216960
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Gorchakova4281112113K. Tymchenko381191081
LAug 23 · 18:35A. Gorchakova31751181K. Tymchenko4111118113
WAug 20 · 12:35A. Gorchakova4512913113K. Tymchenko3610111141
WAug 16 · 19:05A. Gorchakova331111113K. Tymchenko249960
WJul 18 · 18:35A. Gorchakova4211119113K. Tymchenko36791191
WJun 5 · 17:05A. Gorchakova47611118113K. Tymchenko4211771162
WMay 29 · 12:35A. Gorchakova341112113K. Tymchenko2691070
WMay 23 · 17:05A. Gorchakova4071111113K. Tymchenko26115551
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 27 · 15:35A. Gorchakova4.001111113V. Shevchuk1.229580LSep 27 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.50911741M. Gordeets1.281171163WSep 27 · 12:35A. Gorchakova2.6311511113O. Ivchenko1.44711961LSep 20 · 17:40A. Gorchakova2.63117851O. Ivchenko1.4491111113LSep 20 · 16:35A. Gorchakova3.756950V. Shevchuk1.251111113WSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173LSep 20 · 14:35A. Volgina1.441111113A. Gorchakova2.638670WSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113WSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163
K. Tymchenko10
WSep 27 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.501411113M. Gordeets1.5012780LSep 27 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2571111113K. Tymchenko1.57117561LSep 27 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.756980V. Shevchuk1.401111113LSep 26 · 19:05M. Gordeets1.501111113K. Tymchenko2.506680LSep 26 · 18:05V. Shevchuk1.40111110113K. Tymchenko2.75961281LSep 26 · 16:35A. Lapa1.401112113K. Tymchenko2.7581080LSep 26 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.33711711113K. Tymchenko3.2511811362LSep 26 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.221111113K. Tymchenko4.005890LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113
Upcoming Matches
A. Gorchakova
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K. Tymchenko
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