TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anna Gorchakova vs Margarita Gordeets 1-3 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111771146––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-6
Point 66 set 4, 4-6 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 79.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 11–57 Margarita Gordeets Anna Gorchakova has won 11 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:36What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-57 in 68
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 46 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1539 vs Gordeets 1674
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 50% vs Gordeets 70%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Gordeets +3
Gordeets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.50 / Gordeets 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Gordeets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13201041
Gorchakova3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 43 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Gordeets1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 108 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it84% 83 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova2wins
AwayGordeets8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
AwayGordeets85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova3Gordeets6n = 9Gordeets took 6 of 9
S4Gorchakova2Gordeets3n = 5Gordeets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsGorchakova − GordeetsBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.236.9−6.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 433 vs 346 / 58846.4%58.8%201 / 433 vs 346 / 588Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGorchakova 3.50/Gordeets 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3812132113M. Gordeets3910111171
LSep 5 · 18:05A. Gorchakova199460M. Gordeets331111113
LSep 4 · 18:05A. Gorchakova29108110M. Gordeets361211133
LAug 23 · 15:35A. Gorchakova3511118322M. Gordeets47951111113
LAug 22 · 16:35A. Gorchakova249870M. Gordeets331111113
WAug 20 · 14:35A. Gorchakova49141311113M. Gordeets401611851
LAug 14 · 15:35A. Gorchakova205870M. Gordeets331111113
LJul 25 · 15:05A. Gorchakova28871121M. Gordeets3411111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 27 · 12:35A. Gorchakova2.6311511113O. Ivchenko1.44711961LSep 20 · 17:40A. Gorchakova2.63117851O. Ivchenko1.4491111113LSep 20 · 16:35A. Gorchakova3.756950V. Shevchuk1.251111113WSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173LSep 20 · 14:35A. Volgina1.441111113A. Gorchakova2.638670WSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113WSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113
M. Gordeets10
WSep 27 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7596120M. Gordeets1.251111143WSep 26 · 19:05M. Gordeets1.501111113K. Tymchenko2.506680WSep 26 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.8011911982M. Gordeets1.91311911113LSep 26 · 16:05M. Gordeets1.73117761V. Shevchuk2.0081111113WSep 26 · 15:05A. Lapa2.201071171M. Gordeets1.6112118113LSep 26 · 13:35M. Gordeets1.80811150O. Ivchenko1.911113173WSep 12 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.83910111142M. Gordeets1.83111274113WSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.73117811113V. Shevchuk2.0041111882LSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Gorchakova
M. Gordeets
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.