TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Karel Zeman vs Jan Przybyla 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311811114611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 2–7 Jan Przybyla Karel Zeman has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:46What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Przybyla
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1415 vs Przybyla 1440
Przybyla
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Przybyla 80%
Przybyla
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 60% vs Przybyla 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Przybyla +4
Przybyla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.80 / Przybyla 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zeman)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13199610
Zeman1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Przybyla1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 48 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayPrzybyla7wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman28.6%2 of 7
AwayPrzybylan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Przybyla2n = 9Zeman took 7 of 9
S2Zeman1Przybyla8n = 9Przybyla took 8 of 9
S3Zeman3Przybyla6n = 9Przybyla took 6 of 9
S4Zeman3Przybyla5n = 8Przybyla took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricZemanPrzybylaZ − PBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match34.840.2−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 328 vs 234 / 45755.8%51.2%183 / 328 vs 234 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.80/Przybyla 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 12 · 17:15K. Zeman4211116592J. Przybyla49791111113
LJul 12 · 13:45K. Zeman31119381J. Przybyla3741111113
LJun 22 · 17:45K. Zeman351348101J. Przybyla45111111123
LJun 11 · 19:10K. Zeman30114871J. Przybyla3741111113
WMay 31 · 18:40K. Zeman3811511113J. Przybyla28511661
LMay 25 · 18:15K. Zeman192890J. Przybyla331111113
LMay 19 · 17:40K. Zeman381467111J. Przybyla47121111133
WFeb 18 · 22:10K. Zeman4011711113J. Przybyla35711981
LFeb 18 · 20:10K. Zeman4055131162J. Przybyla511111117113
K. Zeman10
LSep 26 · 18:45K. Zeman1.44116741J. Vanous2.6331111113WSep 26 · 17:45K. Zeman1.73101112113P. Jokiel2.001291091LSep 23 · 21:20F. Theodor2.001111123K. Zeman1.7337100WSep 23 · 20:15K. Zeman1.5781113113P. Chvojka2.251161161WSep 23 · 18:45V. Reska1.8012711792K. Zeman1.911011711113LSep 23 · 18:15F. Theodor2.00891112123K. Zeman1.731111610102LSep 19 · 21:13K. Zeman1.801153101M. Janik1.9181111123WSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman2.101051111123M. Janik1.67121179102WSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661WSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090
J. Przybyla10
WSep 26 · 19:15P. Jokiel1.9131111752J. Przybyla1.80119811113WSep 26 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5311713113J. Vanous2.387111131WSep 26 · 17:19T. Ogrocki1.801189111J. Przybyla1.9181111133WSep 26 · 15:45V. Reska1.7361311862J. Przybyla2.001111811113LSep 26 · 15:15T. Ogrocki1.671291213113J. Przybyla2.101011141192WSep 26 · 14:15J. Przybyla1.57911117113M. Lorenc2.2511881152LSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181WSep 25 · 19:45M. Henzel1.6710750J. Przybyla2.101211113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113
Upcoming Matches
K. Zeman
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J. Przybyla
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