TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Przybyla vs Oldrich Vaclahovsky 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117311119211
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:05 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 84 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 61.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 1–0 Oldrich Vaclahovsky Oldrich Vaclahovsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:05What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1413 vs Vaclahovsky 1410
Przybyla
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 20% vs Vaclahovsky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 40% vs Vaclahovsky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -4 · Vaclahovsky -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Przybyla) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.53 / Vaclahovsky 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Przybyla)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13193080
Przybyla1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 40 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it64% 28 of 44
Vaclahovsky2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrzybyla1wins
AwayVaclahovsky0wins
Przybyla leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPrzybylaVaclahovskyP − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.041.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 447 vs 121 / 25750.8%47.1%227 / 447 vs 121 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.53/Vaclahovsky 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 22 · 18:45J. Przybyla4011123143O. Vaclahovsky4181011121
J. Przybyla10
WSep 25 · 19:45M. Henzel1.6710750J. Przybyla2.101211113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 16:44V. Konvicka1.6112116113J. Przybyla2.201051171LSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141LSep 25 · 15:15J. Przybyla2.005960V. Konvicka1.731111113LSep 25 · 13:45L. Kantor1.67111112113J. Przybyla2.101381061WSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113LSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska1.7311114113J. Przybyla2.00891171WSep 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla2.20112119113D. Branny1.6191191192WSep 24 · 17:45M. Raska2.0011121191J. Przybyla1.7341413113
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 25 · 18:45M. Henzel2.10811761O. Vaclahovsky1.6711911113LSep 22 · 16:40F. Mandrysz2.2011115113O. Vaclahovsky1.61751131LSep 22 · 15:40T. Ogrocki1.5711713133O. Vaclahovsky2.2571111111LSep 22 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.5011119113O. Vaclahovsky1.50571191WSep 22 · 14:10O. Vaclahovsky1.53614411123L. Jr2.381112118102LSep 9 · 17:15M. Lorenc1.85129119113O. Vaclahovsky1.85101171182WSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481LSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102WSep 7 · 13:15O. Vaclahovsky1.6871311123L. Jr1.9911119101
Upcoming Matches
J. Przybyla
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O. Vaclahovsky
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