TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Henzel vs Oldrich Vaclahovsky 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119711611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Henzel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Henzel above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Michal Henzel at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vaclahovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Henzel 1452 vs Vaclahovsky 1420
Henzel
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Henzel 60% vs Vaclahovsky 40%
Henzel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Henzel 40% vs Vaclahovsky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Henzel +3 · Vaclahovsky +1
Henzel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vaclahovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHenzel 2.10 / Vaclahovsky 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13194549
Henzel2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 5 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Vaclahovsky1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 33 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenzelVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 109 vs 122 / 25845%47.3%49 / 109 vs 122 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyHenzel 2.10/Vaclahovsky 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vaclahovsky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Henzel10
WSep 25 · 17:45M. Henzel2.0011118113T. Ogrocki1.73891171WSep 16 · 16:40D. Branny1.8311811672M. Henzel1.83411811113WSep 16 · 16:10V. Konvicka2.00101130M. Henzel1.731213113LSep 16 · 15:10M. Henzel2.00116891L. Dzida1.7371111113LSep 16 · 13:40D. Branny1.8351112113M. Henzel1.831141071LAug 7 · 20:48M. Henzel2.2011117712A. Kanak1.61761111113WAug 7 · 19:45A. Kanak1.8011119682M. Henzel1.91591111113LAug 7 · 19:15J. Vanous2.3811118113M. Henzel1.53971141LAug 7 · 18:15M. Henzel1.739550O. Skvor2.001111113LAug 5 · 21:08M. Henzel1.73115771D. Branny2.0041111113
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 22 · 16:40F. Mandrysz2.2011115113O. Vaclahovsky1.61751131LSep 22 · 15:40T. Ogrocki1.5711713133O. Vaclahovsky2.2571111111LSep 22 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.5011119113O. Vaclahovsky1.50571191WSep 22 · 14:10O. Vaclahovsky1.53614411123L. Jr2.381112118102LSep 9 · 17:15M. Lorenc1.85129119113O. Vaclahovsky1.85101171182WSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481LSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102WSep 7 · 13:15O. Vaclahovsky1.6871311123L. Jr1.9911119101
Upcoming Matches
M. Henzel
Nothing scheduled
O. Vaclahovsky
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.