TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12367841
Played Aug 5Finished
Michal Henzel
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114511711711––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMichal Henzel above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Michal Henzel 4–1 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Henzel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Henzel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHenzel 1.73 / Branny 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Henzel)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12367841
Henzel1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 7 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Branny2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHenzel4wins
AwayBranny1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHenzel leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHenzel100%4 of 4
AwayBrannyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Henzel4Branny1n = 5Henzel took 4 of 5
S2Henzel1Branny4n = 5Branny took 4 of 5
S3Henzel3Branny2n = 5Henzel took 3 of 5
S4Henzel2Branny2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricHenzelBrannyH − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.440.8+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenzelBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 99 vs 148 / 29145.5%50.9%45 / 99 vs 148 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenzelHenzel 1.73/Branny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Henzel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 5 · 18:15M. Henzel46121184113D. Branny50109111192
WApr 1 · 19:15M. Henzel4717811113D. Branny371511651
LMar 21 · 19:40M. Henzel28117100D. Branny361311123
WDec 27 · 19:40M. Henzel4211911113D. Branny34911861
WDec 5 · 20:40M. Henzel49126119113D. Branny47101171182
M. Henzel10
LAug 7 · 20:48M. Henzel2.2011117712A. Kanak1.61761111113WAug 7 · 19:45A. Kanak1.8011119682M. Henzel1.91591111113LAug 7 · 19:15J. Vanous2.3811118113M. Henzel1.53971141LAug 7 · 18:15M. Henzel1.739550O. Skvor2.001111113WAug 5 · 20:15M. Henzel1.831111113F. Theodor1.839620WAug 5 · 18:45J. Volny1.8381361182M. Henzel1.831111117113WAug 5 · 18:15D. Branny2.00109111192M. Henzel1.73121184113WJul 1 · 20:40D. Osvald1.50511951M. Henzel2.5011811113WJul 1 · 20:10M. Henzel1.5781111113J. Vanous2.25114961LJul 1 · 18:40D. Osvald1.6711611113M. Henzel2.10511571
D. Branny10
LSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 16:10J. Przybyla1.739940D. Branny2.001111113WSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193LSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153LSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin1.571111113D. Branny2.253990WSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870LSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LAug 5 · 18:15D. Branny2.00109111192M. Henzel1.73121184113
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