TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12131674
Played Jul 1Finished
Michal Henzel
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114119116––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMichal Henzel above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Henzel 1–0 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Henzel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHenzel 1.57 / Vanous 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Henzel)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12131674
Henzel1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite39% won 7 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Vanous2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHenzel1wins
AwayVanous0wins
Henzel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHenzelVanousH − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenzelVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 96 vs 108 / 23443.8%46.2%42 / 96 vs 108 / 234Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenzelHenzel 1.57/Vanous 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Henzel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Henzel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 4 · 18:15M. Henzel4181111113J. Vanous33118771
M. Henzel10
LAug 7 · 20:48M. Henzel2.2011117712A. Kanak1.61761111113WAug 7 · 19:45A. Kanak1.8011119682M. Henzel1.91591111113LAug 7 · 19:15J. Vanous2.3811118113M. Henzel1.53971141LAug 7 · 18:15M. Henzel1.739550O. Skvor2.001111113LAug 5 · 21:08M. Henzel1.73115771D. Branny2.0041111113WAug 5 · 20:15M. Henzel1.831111113F. Theodor1.839620WAug 5 · 18:45J. Volny1.8381361182M. Henzel1.831111117113WAug 5 · 18:15D. Branny2.00109111192M. Henzel1.73121184113WJul 1 · 20:40D. Osvald1.50511951M. Henzel2.5011811113LJul 1 · 18:40D. Osvald1.6711611113M. Henzel2.10511571
J. Vanous10
LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113WSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 18:40V. Reska1.5011117113J. Vanous2.50881191LSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931WSep 9 · 20:45V. Molin1.5099111182J. Vanous2.50111197113LSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141LSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WAug 7 · 19:15J. Vanous2.3811118113M. Henzel1.53971141
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