TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vladislav Reska vs Jan Przybyla 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111311118811611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 54.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 16–11 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Reska
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1464 vs Przybyla 1427
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 60% vs Przybyla 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 50% vs Przybyla 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Przybyla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.73 / Przybyla 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13200137
Reska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 71 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Przybyla2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 48 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska7wins
AwayPrzybyla3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska100%6 of 6
AwayPrzybyla75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska6Przybyla4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S2Reska5Przybyla5n = 10split evenly
S3Reska6Przybyla4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S4Reska3Przybyla0n = 3Reska took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaPrzybylaR − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.529.5+4.0per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 513 vs 230 / 45250.5%50.9%259 / 513 vs 230 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.73/Przybyla 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska269890J. Przybyla331111113
WSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska3711114113J. Przybyla35891171
LSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska2477100J. Przybyla341111123
WSep 18 · 20:15V. Reska351311113J. Przybyla2111460
WSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska4111811113J. Przybyla26311481
LJun 29 · 21:15V. Reska246990J. Przybyla331111113
WJun 29 · 20:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2510960
WJun 21 · 20:10V. Reska331111113J. Przybyla185940
WMay 28 · 17:45V. Reska47671112113J. Przybyla46111161082
WMay 25 · 21:15V. Reska341211113J. Przybyla2410770
V. Reska10
LSep 26 · 16:49V. Reska1.33111110892M. Lorenc3.25691211113WSep 26 · 14:45V. Reska1.731112113M. Lorenc2.0071060LSep 26 · 13:45V. Reska1.40111111882T. Ogrocki2.75613911113LSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113WSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska1.7311114113J. Przybyla2.00891171WSep 24 · 18:45M. Raska1.9111611992V. Reska1.80611911113LSep 24 · 18:15D. Branny1.671111113V. Reska2.108940WSep 23 · 20:50V. Reska1.61117411113P. Chvojka2.2091111892LSep 23 · 19:45V. Reska1.67121111632F. Theodor2.10148911113LSep 23 · 18:45V. Reska1.8012711792K. Zeman1.911011711113
J. Przybyla10
WSep 26 · 14:15J. Przybyla1.57911117113M. Lorenc2.2511881152LSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181WSep 25 · 19:45M. Henzel1.6710750J. Przybyla2.101211113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 25 · 16:44V. Konvicka1.6112116113J. Przybyla2.201051171LSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141LSep 25 · 15:15J. Przybyla2.005960V. Konvicka1.731111113WSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113LSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska1.7311114113J. Przybyla2.00891171
Upcoming Matches
V. Reska
Nothing scheduled
J. Przybyla
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