TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Ogrocki vs Jan Przybyla 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1188119111113––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Ogrocki above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Ogrocki 13–12 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ogrocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgrocki 1.80 / Przybyla 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ogrocki)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13201542
Ogrocki1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Przybyla1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 48 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOgrocki5wins
AwayPrzybyla5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOgrockin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrzybyla62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ogrocki2Przybyla8n = 10Przybyla took 8 of 10
S2Ogrocki3Przybyla7n = 10Przybyla took 7 of 10
S3Ogrocki5Przybyla5n = 10split evenly
S4Ogrocki5Przybyla1n = 6Ogrocki took 5 of 6
S5Ogrocki3Przybyla1n = 4Ogrocki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOgrockiPrzybylaO − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.2−3.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgrockiPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 510 vs 231 / 45448%50.9%245 / 510 vs 231 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiOgrocki 1.80/Przybyla 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 15:15T. Ogrocki571291213113J. Przybyla551011141192
LSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki29641181J. Przybyla3911116113
LJul 4 · 09:25T. Ogrocki214980J. Przybyla331111113
LJul 4 · 07:15T. Ogrocki4067111152J. Przybyla48111178113
WJun 22 · 21:10T. Ogrocki341211113J. Przybyla2210570
WJun 22 · 19:45T. Ogrocki4491311113J. Przybyla391111981
LMay 20 · 17:20T. Ogrocki206590J. Przybyla331111113
WMay 20 · 14:45T. Ogrocki49911711113J. Przybyla4511811782
LMay 10 · 08:55T. Ogrocki2241260J. Przybyla361114113
WMay 10 · 06:15T. Ogrocki551091311123J. Przybyla521211118102
T. Ogrocki10
WSep 26 · 16:15M. Lorenc1.671181081T. Ogrocki2.1081112113WSep 26 · 15:15T. Ogrocki1.671291213113J. Przybyla2.101011141192WSep 26 · 13:45V. Reska1.40111111882T. Ogrocki2.75613911113LSep 25 · 20:40M. Henzel3.40991111113T. Ogrocki1.3011117182WSep 25 · 20:15O. Vaclahovsky2.259590T. Ogrocki1.571111113LSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 17:45M. Henzel2.0011118113T. Ogrocki1.73891171WSep 25 · 13:20O. Skvor1.619111051T. Ogrocki2.2011612113LSep 25 · 12:15M. Janik1.8315311113T. Ogrocki1.831311781LSep 25 · 11:15T. Ogrocki2.00121191182O. Skvor1.731013118113
J. Przybyla10
WSep 26 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5311713113J. Vanous2.387111131WSep 26 · 15:45V. Reska1.7361311862J. Przybyla2.001111811113LSep 26 · 15:15T. Ogrocki1.671291213113J. Przybyla2.101011141192WSep 26 · 14:15J. Przybyla1.57911117113M. Lorenc2.2511881152LSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181WSep 25 · 19:45M. Henzel1.6710750J. Przybyla2.101211113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 25 · 16:44V. Konvicka1.6112116113J. Przybyla2.201051171LSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141
Upcoming Matches
T. Ogrocki
Nothing scheduled
J. Przybyla
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