TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Oldrich Vaclahovsky vs Tomas Ogrocki 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Ogrocki to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOldrich Vaclahovsky above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Ogrocki at 64.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Vaclahovsky 8–11 Tomas Ogrocki Oldrich Vaclahovsky has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ogrocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Ogrocki
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclahovsky 1443 vs Ogrocki 1433
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclahovsky 40% vs Ogrocki 20%
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclahovsky 50% vs Ogrocki 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclahovsky +2 · Ogrocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Ogrocki) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogrocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclahovsky 2.25 / Ogrocki 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Ogrocki)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13193710
Vaclahovsky2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Ogrocki1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclahovsky3wins
AwayOgrocki7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOgrocki leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclahovsky75%3 of 4
AwayOgrocki100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclahovsky4Ogrocki6n = 10Ogrocki took 6 of 10
S2Vaclahovsky4Ogrocki6n = 10Ogrocki took 6 of 10
S3Vaclahovsky3Ogrocki7n = 10Ogrocki took 7 of 10
S4Vaclahovsky3Ogrocki3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclahovskyOgrockiV − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.133.4−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclahovskyOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 259 vs 241 / 50547.5%47.7%123 / 259 vs 241 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiVaclahovsky 2.25/Ogrocki 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ogrocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky4071111111T. Ogrocki4411713133
LSep 3 · 18:40O. Vaclahovsky361011871T. Ogrocki3512111113
WJun 27 · 12:45O. Vaclahovsky331111113T. Ogrocki165650
LJun 27 · 10:40O. Vaclahovsky4511781272T. Ogrocki452111110113
LJun 22 · 18:15O. Vaclahovsky31781151T. Ogrocki3511112113
LJun 20 · 21:08O. Vaclahovsky164750T. Ogrocki331111113
LJun 20 · 18:10O. Vaclahovsky168350T. Ogrocki331111113
LJun 18 · 18:40O. Vaclahovsky187470T. Ogrocki331111113
WJun 7 · 11:15O. Vaclahovsky3711411113T. Ogrocki28611741
WJun 3 · 15:10O. Vaclahovsky3911116113T. Ogrocki32981141
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181WSep 25 · 18:45M. Henzel2.10811761O. Vaclahovsky1.6711911113WSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 22 · 16:40F. Mandrysz2.2011115113O. Vaclahovsky1.61751131LSep 22 · 15:40T. Ogrocki1.5711713133O. Vaclahovsky2.2571111111LSep 22 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.5011119113O. Vaclahovsky1.50571191WSep 22 · 14:10O. Vaclahovsky1.53614411123L. Jr2.381112118102LSep 9 · 17:15M. Lorenc1.85129119113O. Vaclahovsky1.85101171182WSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 25 · 20:40M. Henzel3.40991111113T. Ogrocki1.3011117182LSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 17:45M. Henzel2.0011118113T. Ogrocki1.73891171WSep 25 · 13:20O. Skvor1.619111051T. Ogrocki2.2011612113LSep 25 · 12:15M. Janik1.8315311113T. Ogrocki1.831311781LSep 25 · 11:15T. Ogrocki2.00121191182O. Skvor1.731013118113WSep 25 · 09:45A. Drozd1.611221071T. Ogrocki2.20101112113WSep 24 · 21:10T. Ogrocki1.5061211113P. Jokiel2.501110491WSep 24 · 19:40J. Vanous2.105590T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 22 · 15:40T. Ogrocki1.5711713133O. Vaclahovsky2.2571111111
Upcoming Matches
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