TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Dousek vs Jan Dzida 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711211––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 57.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 2–7 Jan Dzida Tomas Dousek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Dzida
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1860 vs Dzida 1871
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Dzida 40%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Dzida 40%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek -1 · Dzida +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.75 / Dzida 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Dzida)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199185
Dousek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 37 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Dzida1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 137 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it74% 100 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDousek2wins
AwayDzida7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDzida leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek2Dzida7n = 9Dzida took 7 of 9
S2Dousek4Dzida5n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S3Dousek2Dzida6n = 8Dzida took 6 of 8
S4Dousek2Dzida2n = 4split evenly
S5Dousek1Dzida2n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricDousekDzidaDousek − DzidaBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match33.138.6−5.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 487 vs 221 / 37953.2%58.3%259 / 487 vs 221 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDousek 2.75/Dzida 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek331111113J. Dzida259790
WSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek47111168113J. Dzida4293111182
LSep 13 · 20:30T. Dousek2358100J. Dzida341111123
LSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek4351181362J. Dzida481141111113
LJul 7 · 14:30T. Dousek218670J. Dzida331111113
LJun 15 · 15:30T. Dousek36712891J. Dzida43111011113
LMar 27 · 18:00T. Dousek4659111292J. Dzida511111810113
LMar 27 · 15:00T. Dousek166460J. Dzida331111113
T. Dousek10
LSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113WSep 20 · 20:30R. Polasek1.91111299112T. Dousek1.809101111133LSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:30R. Niezgoda1.736111110102T. Dousek2.00114712123WSep 20 · 17:29M. Navedla2.3811571132T. Dousek1.53511119113WSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862WSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50118681M. Navedla2.5091111113WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113
J. Dzida10
WSep 25 · 17:05M. Cabis2.3812730J. Dzida1.531411113WSep 25 · 16:30J. Dzida1.50511915113M. Cabis2.50114111392LSep 25 · 15:00J. Dzida1.731191171O. Paril2.0031113113LSep 25 · 14:00M. Biolek1.911111113J. Dzida1.805890LSep 22 · 17:00J. Dzida1.613212151J. Szotkowski2.20111110173LSep 22 · 16:00M. Biolek1.8311117113J. Dzida1.83561191LSep 22 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.911111123J. Dzida1.8085100WSep 22 · 14:30J. Dzida1.731110811113J. Szotkowski2.0081211582WSep 21 · 17:28J. Szotkowski2.10691111132J. Dzida1.67111136153LSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113
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