TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Torianyk vs Maksym Denysenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11413111012711510
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-10
Point 94 set 5, 5-10 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 10–7 Maksym Denysenko Maksym Denysenko has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Torianyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Torianyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1620 vs Denysenko 1627
Denysenko
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 60% vs Denysenko 40%
Torianyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 60% vs Denysenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -2 · Denysenko -3
Denysenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Denysenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.80 / Denysenko 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.6pp
Setka Cup · #13197252
Torianyk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 105 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it83% 79 of 95
Denysenko1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 16 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk6wins
AwayDenysenko4wins
Torianyk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk100%3 of 3
AwayDenysenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk3Denysenko7n = 10Denysenko took 7 of 10
S2Torianyk6Denysenko4n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S3Torianyk5Denysenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Torianyk5Denysenko1n = 6Torianyk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykDenysenkoT − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.232.3+0.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 504 vs 39 / 7955.8%49.4%281 / 504 vs 39 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.80/Denysenko 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:30O. Torianyk3961111113M. Denysenko30113881
LAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk228590M. Denysenko331111113
WAug 27 · 07:30O. Torianyk4071111113M. Denysenko33119581
LAug 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk2714940M. Denysenko381611113
LAug 21 · 06:00O. Torianyk164930M. Denysenko331111113
LAug 20 · 17:38O. Torianyk35911691M. Denysenko3911611113
WAug 20 · 13:30O. Torianyk331111113M. Denysenko249780
WAug 15 · 07:30O. Torianyk4181111113M. Denysenko29118551
WAug 14 · 14:30O. Torianyk4011117113M. Denysenko27661141
WAug 8 · 05:00O. Torianyk3911511123M. Denysenko378118101
O. Torianyk10
WSep 26 · 16:30P. Kolesnik3.001111951O. Torianyk1.361371183LSep 26 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.631081211102M. Levytskii1.441211107123LSep 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.75581141O. Tiutiunnyk1.4011119113WSep 20 · 10:28O. Torianyk1.40812118113S. Sideltsev2.75111071162WSep 20 · 08:30S. Sideltsev3.00711851O. Torianyk1.3611911113WSep 20 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.441111113P. Kolesnik2.638880WSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys2.00991281O. Torianyk1.73111110113WSep 20 · 05:30O. Torianyk1.251112113N. Priadko3.7531090LSep 19 · 16:00I. Dubinin3.5011119113O. Torianyk1.28971141LSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461
M. Denysenko10
WSep 26 · 16:00M. Denysenko1.9191111663O. Tiutiunnyk1.8011871152LSep 26 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.9111911113M. Denysenko1.80611541LSep 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.73111110113M. Denysenko2.00481281LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113
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