TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Maksym Hubenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111311118611108
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-8
Point 93 set 5, 10-8 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 68.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 43–92 Maksym Hubenko Dmytro Prylepa has won 43 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-92 in 135
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 49 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1486 vs Hubenko 1612
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Hubenko 40%
Prylepa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 60% vs Hubenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Hubenko -3
Hubenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.63 / Hubenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13196278
Prylepa2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Hubenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 250 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it94% 127 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it83% 177 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa66.7%2 of 3
AwayHubenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa6Hubenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa4Hubenko5n = 9Hubenko took 5 of 9
S4Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
S5Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaHubenkoP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.8−2.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 808 vs 563 / 104649.3%53.8%398 / 808 vs 563 / 1046Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoPrylepa 2.63/Hubenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa518111110113M. Hubenko4111681242
LSep 14 · 10:30D. Prylepa213990M. Hubenko331111113
LSep 6 · 07:00D. Prylepa2210570M. Hubenko341211113
LSep 4 · 07:00D. Prylepa48911512112M. Hubenko531181110133
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Prylepa4651311982M. Hubenko531111911113
WAug 30 · 14:30D. Prylepa341211113M. Hubenko1910360
WAug 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa381116113M. Hubenko3181490
LAug 20 · 05:00D. Prylepa2458110M. Hubenko351111133
LAug 16 · 17:30D. Prylepa52131118282M. Hubenko591162011113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:00D. Prylepa1.3391311113O. Lyman3.251111871WSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882LSep 25 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.676440S. Maliuk2.101111113WSep 25 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10611691WSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.361111113O. Lyman3.007750LSep 25 · 04:30D. Prylepa1.5751191172D. Kuzmenko2.25119118113WSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113WSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 26 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.3311116123O. Lyman3.258911101LSep 26 · 14:00O. Kurylenko3.0095111193M. Hubenko1.3611117782LSep 26 · 12:30A. Vasylets2.5011112113M. Hubenko1.50681151LSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.36114891D. Kuzmenko3.0051111113WSep 24 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331111123O. Kurylenko3.2566100WSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.401711113O. Syksa2.7515860LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931WSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113
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