TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Lach vs Robert Szymik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611211511––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcin Lach above · Robert Szymik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Marcin Lach at 54.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Lach 1–1 Robert Szymik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lach 1395 vs Szymik 1402
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 20% vs Szymik 80%
Szymik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 30% vs Szymik 80%
Szymik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach -4 · Szymik +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.80 / Szymik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lach)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13194828
Lach1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 118 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it99% 67 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Szymik1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLach1wins
AwaySzymik1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLachSzymikL − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.537.0−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 236 vs 612 / 94661%64.7%144 / 236 vs 612 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachLach 1.80/Szymik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 26 · 01:55M. Lach29611481R. Szymik3911611113
WJul 25 · 19:55M. Lach4071111113R. Szymik35118881
M. Lach10
LSep 13 · 14:20M. Lach1.834540J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 13 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.50101411113M. Lach2.501212451LSep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.80816117113M. Lach1.91111471182LSep 13 · 11:00M. Lach2.00761191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311115113WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lach1.441111123Z. Sobkow2.6347100LSep 13 · 08:10M. Lach1.911110691J. Wieczerzak1.8081211113LSep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.571711113M. Lach2.2515740WSep 13 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.381177111M. Lach1.5391111133LSep 13 · 04:55M. Lach2.108690W. Wojtaszczyk1.671111113WSep 13 · 03:50M. Lach2.10111166143S. Szostok1.67771111122
R. Szymik10
WSep 26 · 04:30R. Szymik1.731111133R. Piechnik2.0036110WSep 26 · 02:10R. Szymik1.831111113L. Oracz1.837720WSep 26 · 00:35K. Juszczyk1.83611461R. Szymik1.8311911113WSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec1.80691111112R. Szymik1.91111187133WSep 25 · 22:55R. Szymik1.4011116113M. Baron2.75861151LSep 25 · 21:45R. Szymik1.80111190O. Sokolowski1.911313113WSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470LSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143WSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101WSep 20 · 00:45D. Dytko2.111011691R. Szymik1.6612511113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lach
Sep 26 · 05:40M. Lach2.25P. Polok1.57—Sep 26 · 06:30M. Lach2.63A. Cichocki1.44—Sep 26 · 08:10M. Lach1.67R. Piechnik2.10—Sep 26 · 09:00M. Lach2.63A. Cichocki1.44—Sep 26 · 10:10M. Lach1.67R. Piechnik2.10—Sep 26 · 11:50M. Lach1.28R. Idaczyk3.50—Sep 26 · 13:05M. Lach—P. Polok——Sep 26 · 14:40M. Lach1.44J. Jesiek2.63—
R. Szymik
Sep 26 · 06:05R. Szymik1.80J. Jesiek1.91—Sep 26 · 06:55R. Szymik2.50P. Polok1.50—Sep 26 · 07:45R. Szymik3.40A. Cichocki1.30—Sep 26 · 18:20R. Szymik—L. Bernacki——Sep 26 · 19:30R. Szymik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 26 · 20:20R. Szymik—R. Wiza——Sep 26 · 21:05R. Szymik—D. Fira——Sep 26 · 22:40R. Szymik—J. Michalski——Sep 27 · 00:20R. Szymik—R. Wiza——Sep 27 · 01:30R. Szymik—H. Tkaczyk——
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