TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Robert Szymik vs Mariusz Baron 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116611115––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Szymik above · Mariusz Baron below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Robert Szymik at 68.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Robert Szymik 14–4 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-4 in 18
Szymik
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1332 vs Baron 1286
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Baron 40%
Szymik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 40% vs Baron 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik -1 · Baron -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Szymik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.40 / Baron 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Szymik)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13194538
Szymik1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 273 of 397
Up 2–0, closes it96% 157 of 163
Up 1–0, closes it84% 208 of 249
Baron2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 190 of 475
Down 0–1, comes back25% 64 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymik8wins
AwayBaron2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik85.7%6 of 7
AwayBaron33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik7Baron3n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S2Szymik6Baron4n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S3Szymik4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S4Szymik6Baron2n = 8Szymik took 6 of 8
S5Szymik4Baron1n = 5Szymik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymikBaronS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.937.0+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 942 vs 873 / 182964.5%47.7%608 / 942 vs 873 / 1829Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.40/Baron 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 01:25R. Szymik331111113M. Baron205690
WJun 14 · 04:20R. Szymik48118611123M. Baron46711117102
WJun 13 · 18:45R. Szymik47811611113M. Baron4211811572
WMay 28 · 01:10R. Szymik50791111123M. Baron46111195102
WFeb 16 · 05:20R. Szymik331111113M. Baron227780
LFeb 15 · 19:45R. Szymik47119131132M. Baron49311159113
LJan 31 · 03:20R. Szymik291111521M. Baron4313811113
WJan 30 · 19:20R. Szymik4111118113M. Baron25351161
WSep 20 · 00:45R. Szymik43111155113M. Baron4589111162
WSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik3811511113M. Baron32511791
R. Szymik10
WSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec1.80691111112R. Szymik1.91111187133LSep 25 · 21:45R. Szymik1.80111190O. Sokolowski1.911313113WSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470LSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143WSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101WSep 20 · 00:45D. Dytko2.111011691R. Szymik1.6612511113WSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880LSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik1.73911471D. Dytko1.9811311113LSep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik1.501111191D. Fira2.4041113113LSep 19 · 19:55R. Szymik1.509590J. Nowak2.351111113
M. Baron10
LSep 25 · 21:20K. Juszczyk1.73199117123M. Baron2.001711811102WSep 25 · 20:05M. Baron2.50611119113L. Oracz1.5011571182LSep 25 · 18:30K. Juszczyk1.6711129113M. Baron2.109101181LSep 25 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.73411911113M. Baron2.0011611872WSep 25 · 16:55M. Baron1.91811119113O. Vincenec1.8011741192WSep 25 · 15:50M. Baron1.571111113W. Jozala2.256380LSep 23 · 16:40B. Madej2.55991411113M. Baron1.42111112892LSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec2.15821111113M. Baron1.6011118782LSep 23 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.731111113M. Baron1.987850LSep 23 · 13:10R. Gajda1.93931111113M. Baron1.7811118552
Upcoming Matches
R. Szymik
Sep 26 · 00:35R. Szymik1.83K. Juszczyk1.83—Sep 26 · 02:10R. Szymik1.83L. Oracz1.83—Sep 26 · 03:50R. Szymik2.00M. Lach1.73—Sep 26 · 04:30R. Szymik1.73R. Piechnik2.00—Sep 26 · 06:05R. Szymik1.80J. Jesiek1.91—Sep 26 · 06:55R. Szymik2.50P. Polok1.50—Sep 26 · 07:45R. Szymik3.40A. Cichocki1.30—Sep 26 · 18:20R. Szymik—L. Bernacki——Sep 26 · 19:30R. Szymik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 26 · 20:20R. Szymik—R. Wiza——
M. Baron
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.