TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13156308
Played Sep 20Finished
Dawid Dytko
Home
2.11
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012115611911––
Robert Szymik
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1012115611911––
H2H Dawid Dytko 2–6 Robert Szymik Dawid Dytko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dytko beat Szymik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Szymik
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dytko 1363 vs Szymik 1330
Dytko
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dytko 80% vs Szymik 20%
Dytko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dytko 60% vs Szymik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dytko +3 · Szymik +1
Dytko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDytko 2.11 / Szymik 1.66
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Szymik)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13156308
Dytko2.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Szymik1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 274 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it83% 209 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDytko2wins
AwaySzymik6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSzymik leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDytko66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzymik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dytko3Szymik5n = 8Szymik took 5 of 8
S2Dytko2Szymik6n = 8Szymik took 6 of 8
S3Dytko3Szymik5n = 8Szymik took 5 of 8
S4Dytko3Szymik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricDytkoSzymikD − SBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match32.838.9−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDytkoSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 285 vs 613 / 94654.7%64.8%156 / 285 vs 613 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikDytko 2.11/Szymik 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 22:20D. Dytko3611311113R. Szymik31911471
LApr 25 · 03:05D. Dytko33118591R. Szymik4181111113
LApr 24 · 21:05D. Dytko226880R. Szymik331111113
LSep 13 · 05:05D. Dytko25412451R. Szymik43111011113
LSep 12 · 20:45D. Dytko314111061R. Szymik4111712113
LAug 17 · 03:55D. Dytko227870R. Szymik331111113
WMay 3 · 05:05D. Dytko47111015113R. Szymik409121361
LMay 2 · 20:45D. Dytko4695121192R. Szymik491111106113
D. Dytko10
WSep 19 · 23:30D. Dytko1.906111211113J. Nowak1.7511814992WSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik1.73911471D. Dytko1.9811311113WSep 19 · 21:30G. Sawicki2.2511613872D. Dytko1.546111111113LSep 19 · 20:45D. Dytko1.377101191J. Michalski2.8011124113WSep 19 · 19:10D. Dytko1.661111113J. Nowak2.055530WSep 19 · 18:20D. Fira2.1059100D. Dytko1.601111123WMay 20 · 16:20D. Dytko1.951112133R. Gajda1.74910110LMay 20 · 15:05D. Dytko1.805830S. Szostok1.861111113LMay 20 · 13:55D. Dytko1.90811111142L. Oracz1.80119913113LMay 20 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.5671111113D. Dytko2.22116871
R. Szymik10
WSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880LSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik1.73911471D. Dytko1.9811311113LSep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik1.501111191D. Fira2.4041113113LSep 19 · 19:55R. Szymik1.509590J. Nowak2.351111113LSep 19 · 18:45G. Sawicki2.60119147113R. Szymik1.41911121172WSep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik1.251111113J. Michalski3.707340WSep 19 · 07:45R. Szymik2.75881111113P. Polok1.4011116562WSep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.731111113P. Mecik2.006670WSep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.2071115113W. Wojtaszczyk1.611181371WSep 19 · 04:10A. Szurgot5.50212461R. Szymik1.13111011113
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