TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159448
Played Sep 19Finished
Dawid Dytko
Home
1.37
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012114911––
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Michalski to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012114911––
H2H Dawid Dytko 5–7 Jakub Michalski Dawid Dytko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Dytko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Michalski
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dytko 1352 vs Michalski 1143
Dytko
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dytko 60% vs Michalski 40%
Dytko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dytko 50% vs Michalski 30%
Dytko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dytko +3 · Michalski -2
Dytko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dytko) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dytko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDytko 1.37 / Michalski 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Dytko)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159448
Dytko1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Michalski2.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 77 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDytko4wins
AwayMichalski6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMichalski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDytko50%2 of 4
AwayMichalski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dytko4Michalski6n = 10Michalski took 6 of 10
S2Dytko5Michalski5n = 10split evenly
S3Dytko4Michalski6n = 10Michalski took 6 of 10
S4Dytko2Michalski4n = 6Michalski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDytkoMichalskiD − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.434.7−1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDytkoMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 278 vs 406 / 105254%38.6%150 / 278 vs 406 / 1052Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.733.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DytkoDytko 1.37/Michalski 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Dytko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Michalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 25 · 01:30D. Dytko331111113J. Michalski237970
WApr 24 · 19:30D. Dytko511211611113J. Michalski4614811762
LNov 8 · 14:30D. Dytko2587100J. Michalski341111123
LNov 8 · 08:30D. Dytko30119551J. Michalski3961111113
LSep 9 · 14:20D. Dytko269980J. Michalski331111113
LSep 9 · 06:20D. Dytko368111161J. Michalski4011513113
WMay 10 · 05:05D. Dytko4071111113J. Michalski29115581
WMay 9 · 20:45D. Dytko331111113J. Michalski207580
LMar 29 · 05:40D. Dytko28116561J. Michalski4181111113
LMar 28 · 23:40D. Dytko32931191J. Michalski4211119113
D. Dytko10
WSep 19 · 21:30G. Sawicki2.2511613872D. Dytko1.546111111113WSep 19 · 19:10D. Dytko1.661111113J. Nowak2.055530WSep 19 · 18:20D. Fira2.1059100D. Dytko1.601111123WMay 20 · 16:20D. Dytko1.951112133R. Gajda1.74910110LMay 20 · 15:05D. Dytko1.805830S. Szostok1.861111113LMay 20 · 13:55D. Dytko1.90811111142L. Oracz1.80119913113LMay 20 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.5671111113D. Dytko2.22116871WMay 20 · 11:55D. Dytko2.301161011113K. Adamus1.5271112542WMay 20 · 10:20D. Dytko2.3011115113K. Hetnar1.52891161LMay 20 · 09:05D. Dytko1.86811871S. Szostok1.8311811113
J. Michalski10
WSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690LSep 19 · 19:30D. Fira1.60471111113J. Michalski2.1511114342LSep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik1.251111113J. Michalski3.707340WSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580LSep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.706670WSep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.4177111182J. Michalski2.70111169113LSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113LSep 12 · 24:20J. Michalski2.376810R. Wiza1.481111113WSep 11 · 22:40J. Michalski1.751111113A. Szurgot1.956660LSep 11 · 21:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.705740
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