TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158417
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Fira
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5119111012––––
Dawid Dytko
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:43 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeDawid Dytko to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
5119111012––––
H2H Damian Fira 2–2 Dawid Dytko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Dytko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fira 1259 vs Dytko 1331
Dytko
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fira 20% vs Dytko 40%
Dytko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fira 40% vs Dytko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fira -4 · Dytko +1
Fira
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dytko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dytko form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 2.10 / Dytko 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Dytko)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158417
Fira2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 61
Dytko1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 122 days ago (May 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFira2wins
AwayDytko2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiran = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDytko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira1Dytko3n = 4Dytko took 3 of 4
S2Fira2Dytko2n = 4split evenly
S3Fira2Dytko2n = 4split evenly
S4Fira2Dytko2n = 4split evenly
S5Fira2Dytko1n = 3Fira took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiraDytkoF − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.042.2−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraDytkoBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 459 vs 150 / 27843.4%54%199 / 459 vs 150 / 278Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DytkoFira 2.10/Dytko 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Dytko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dytko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 10 · 01:30D. Fira40113411113D. Dytko3551111532
LMay 9 · 19:30D. Fira35714951D. Dytko45111211113
LMay 2 · 23:55D. Fira3751111462D. Dytko47115911113
WMay 2 · 17:55D. Fira48781111113D. Dytko4211117492
D. Fira10
WSep 19 · 19:30D. Fira1.60471111113J. Michalski2.1511114342LSep 19 · 04:20D. Fira2.4386100K. Juszczyk1.391111123LSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113LSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113LSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570WSep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.801110116113O. Sokolowski1.8591271192LSep 18 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.5011119113D. Fira2.40871171
D. Dytko10
WSep 19 · 19:10D. Dytko1.661111113J. Nowak2.055530WMay 20 · 16:20D. Dytko1.951112133R. Gajda1.74910110LMay 20 · 15:05D. Dytko1.805830S. Szostok1.861111113LMay 20 · 13:55D. Dytko1.90811111142L. Oracz1.80119913113LMay 20 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.5671111113D. Dytko2.22116871WMay 20 · 11:55D. Dytko2.301161011113K. Adamus1.5271112542WMay 20 · 10:20D. Dytko2.3011115113K. Hetnar1.52891161LMay 20 · 09:05D. Dytko1.86811871S. Szostok1.8311811113LMay 20 · 07:55D. Dytko2.04101170L. Oracz1.661213113LMay 20 · 06:45R. Gajda1.5111117113D. Dytko2.33671131
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
Sep 19 · 20:20D. Fira1.74G. Sawicki1.95—Sep 19 · 21:05D. Fira2.40R. Szymik1.50—Sep 19 · 22:40D. Fira1.95J. Nowak1.74—Sep 20 · 24:20D. Fira1.68G. Sawicki1.87—Sep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.37J. Michalski2.49—Sep 20 · 02:20D. Fira—D. Dytko——Sep 20 · 03:05D. Fira2.38R. Szymik1.41—Sep 20 · 04:40D. Fira—J. Nowak——
D. Dytko
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