TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154801
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Fira
Home
2.43
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8116111012––––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.39
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:52 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
8116111012––––
H2H Damian Fira 27–47 Krzysztof Juszczyk Damian Fira has won 27 of their 74 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Juszczyk beat Fira 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (64%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-47 in 74
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 20 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fira 1268 vs Juszczyk 1401
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fira 20% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fira 40% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fira -3 · Juszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 2.43 / Juszczyk 1.39
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Juszczyk)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13154801
Fira2.43
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 61
Juszczyk1.39
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 193 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it95% 112 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFira2wins
AwayJuszczyk8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira40%2 of 5
AwayJuszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira5Juszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Fira4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S3Fira5Juszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Fira1Juszczyk8n = 9Juszczyk took 8 of 9
S5Fira1Juszczyk3n = 4Juszczyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiraJuszczykF − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.144.9−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 458 vs 657 / 122343.5%53.7%199 / 458 vs 657 / 1223Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykFira 2.43/Juszczyk 1.39
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.2%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 18:45D. Fira33871171K. Juszczyk4211119113
LSep 5 · 04:40D. Fira4313109111K. Juszczyk47111211133
WJul 5 · 24:45D. Fira3911611113K. Juszczyk34911681
LJul 4 · 22:20D. Fira401111991K. Juszczyk4413911113
WFeb 15 · 02:55D. Fira50111279113K. Juszczyk49810111192
LFeb 14 · 20:55D. Fira4814611982K. Juszczyk491211411113
LFeb 14 · 02:55D. Fira4481511732K. Juszczyk541113811113
LFeb 13 · 20:55D. Fira26101060K. Juszczyk351212113
LFeb 8 · 01:45D. Fira3814311101K. Juszczyk48121113123
LFeb 7 · 23:20D. Fira4061111572K. Juszczyk47118611113
D. Fira10
LSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113LSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113LSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570WSep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.801110116113O. Sokolowski1.8591271192LSep 18 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.5011119113D. Fira2.40871171WSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.898117101K. Juszczyk1.8211411123WSep 19 · 02:45K. Juszczyk1.291111109113R. Adach2.8047121112WSep 19 · 01:10K. Juszczyk1.481111113O. Sokolowski2.202440LSep 19 · 24:20G. Sawicki2.75911138113K. Juszczyk1.31117111162WSep 18 · 23:05K. Juszczyk1.371111113R. Adach2.757870LSep 18 · 21:30K. Juszczyk1.50114811A. Ruszkiewicz2.3571111113WSep 18 · 20:20K. Juszczyk1.4112114113G. Sawicki2.601091171WSep 18 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.5011119113D. Fira2.40871171LSep 18 · 17:30K. Juszczyk1.618117111O. Sokolowski2.2011711133WSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111
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