TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158409
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Fira
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411711114113114
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Michalski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
411711114113114
H2H Damian Fira 58–48 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 48 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Fira
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-48 in 106
Fira
Correct
gap of 10 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fira 1248 vs Michalski 1152
Fira
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fira 0% vs Michalski 40%
Michalski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fira 30% vs Michalski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fira -5 · Michalski -1
Fira
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fira) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (0%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 1.60 / Michalski 2.15
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Fira)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13158409
Fira1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 45 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Michalski2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 77 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFira9wins
AwayMichalski1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFira leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira100%7 of 7
AwayMichalski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira7Michalski3n = 10Fira took 7 of 10
S2Fira6Michalski4n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S3Fira6Michalski4n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S4Fira4Michalski3n = 7Fira took 4 of 7
S5Fira5Michalski0n = 5Fira took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiraMichalskiF − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.037.8+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 460 vs 406 / 105143.3%38.6%199 / 460 vs 406 / 1051Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.533.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiraFira 1.60/Michalski 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Fira · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fira won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 03:55D. Fira351311113J. Michalski2611960
WSep 4 · 21:55D. Fira351311113J. Michalski2811890
WAug 15 · 03:55D. Fira46114911113J. Michalski4891111892
WAug 14 · 21:55D. Fira47511911113J. Michalski4211811572
WAug 9 · 03:55D. Fira351311113J. Michalski2411940
WAug 8 · 21:55D. Fira3812411113J. Michalski341011581
WAug 8 · 03:55D. Fira47591111113J. Michalski4211116592
WAug 7 · 21:55D. Fira571116118113J. Michalski5081841192
LAug 1 · 23:30D. Fira30611491J. Michalski4111811113
WAug 1 · 19:10D. Fira50111189113J. Michalski4379111152
D. Fira10
WSep 19 · 20:20G. Sawicki1.958970D. Fira1.741111113LSep 19 · 18:20D. Fira2.1059100D. Dytko1.601111123LSep 19 · 04:20D. Fira2.4386100K. Juszczyk1.391111123LSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113LSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113LSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570WSep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.801110116113O. Sokolowski1.8591271192
J. Michalski10
WSep 19 · 20:45D. Dytko1.377101191J. Michalski2.8011124113LSep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik1.251111113J. Michalski3.707340WSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580LSep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.706670WSep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.4177111182J. Michalski2.70111169113LSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113LSep 12 · 24:20J. Michalski2.376810R. Wiza1.481111113WSep 11 · 22:40J. Michalski1.751111113A. Szurgot1.956660LSep 11 · 21:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.705740LSep 11 · 20:20R. Wiza1.5713118113J. Michalski2.251141151
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
J. Michalski
Sep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.75J. Nowak1.40—Sep 19 · 23:05J. Michalski2.40G. Sawicki1.50—Sep 19 · 23:55J. Michalski3.50R. Szymik1.19—Sep 20 · 01:30J. Michalski2.49D. Fira1.37—Sep 20 · 02:45J. Michalski2.36G. Sawicki1.42—Sep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.70J. Nowak1.32—Sep 20 · 05:05J. Michalski3.05D. Dytko1.25—
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