TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Robert Szymik vs Lukasz Oracz 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117112––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobert Szymik above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 49 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Robert Szymik 5–4 Lukasz Oracz Lukasz Oracz has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:05What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1378 vs Oracz 1362
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 80% vs Oracz 20%
Szymik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 70% vs Oracz 40%
Szymik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +3 · Oracz -1
Szymik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.83 / Oracz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szymik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13194905
Szymik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Oracz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymik5wins
AwayOracz4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderSzymik leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik83.3%5 of 6
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik6Oracz3n = 9Szymik took 6 of 9
S2Szymik3Oracz6n = 9Oracz took 6 of 9
S3Szymik6Oracz3n = 9Szymik took 6 of 9
S4Szymik3Oracz5n = 8Oracz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymikOraczS − OBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.437.3+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime611 / 945 vs 845 / 153764.7%55%611 / 945 vs 845 / 1537Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.83/Oracz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 21 · 22:50R. Szymik23112371L. Oracz4291111113
WJul 15 · 04:50R. Szymik531110129113L. Oracz51912101192
WJul 14 · 21:10R. Szymik4211812113L. Oracz379111071
WJul 2 · 14:20R. Szymik3912114123L. Oracz3910811101
LJul 2 · 08:10R. Szymik3721113111L. Oracz4811915133
WJul 1 · 01:35R. Szymik331111113L. Oracz167360
LJun 30 · 19:35R. Szymik365101291L. Oracz44111210113
LMar 14 · 00:30R. Szymik347611101L. Oracz3711113123
WMar 13 · 20:10R. Szymik4011711113L. Oracz22211721
R. Szymik10
WSep 26 · 00:35K. Juszczyk1.83611461R. Szymik1.8311911113WSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec1.80691111112R. Szymik1.91111187133WSep 25 · 22:55R. Szymik1.4011116113M. Baron2.75861151LSep 25 · 21:45R. Szymik1.80111190O. Sokolowski1.911313113WSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470LSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143WSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101WSep 20 · 00:45D. Dytko2.111011691R. Szymik1.6612511113WSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880LSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik1.73911471D. Dytko1.9811311113
L. Oracz10
LSep 26 · 01:25M. Baron2.2511911113L. Oracz1.57711581WSep 25 · 23:20K. Juszczyk1.678870L. Oracz2.101111113LSep 25 · 22:35O. Sokolowski2.63611116113L. Oracz1.4411691192LSep 25 · 21:00O. Vincenec1.8361111113L. Oracz1.83117581LSep 25 · 20:05M. Baron2.00611119113L. Oracz1.7311571182LSep 25 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.83911119113L. Oracz1.8311671152WSep 25 · 17:20K. Juszczyk1.50118561L. Oracz2.5051111113LSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192WSep 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.751091171L. Oracz1.4012117113WSep 24 · 14:20M. Jozefiak2.25811120L. Oracz1.571113143
Upcoming Matches
R. Szymik
Sep 26 · 03:50R. Szymik1.91M. Lach1.80—Sep 26 · 04:30R. Szymik1.73R. Piechnik2.00—Sep 26 · 06:05R. Szymik1.80J. Jesiek1.91—Sep 26 · 06:55R. Szymik2.50P. Polok1.50—Sep 26 · 07:45R. Szymik3.40A. Cichocki1.30—Sep 26 · 18:20R. Szymik—L. Bernacki——Sep 26 · 19:30R. Szymik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 26 · 20:20R. Szymik—R. Wiza——Sep 26 · 21:05R. Szymik—D. Fira——Sep 26 · 22:40R. Szymik—J. Michalski——
L. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
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