TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Juszczyk vs Lukasz Oracz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811511611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Krzysztof Juszczyk at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 4–4 Lukasz Oracz Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1439 vs Oracz 1416
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 50% vs Oracz 70%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +2 · Oracz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.50 / Oracz 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Juszczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194498
Juszczyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 199 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it95% 115 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 159 of 200
Oracz2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 122 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJuszczyk4wins
AwayOracz4wins
Level at 4–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk80%4 of 5
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk5Oracz3n = 8Juszczyk took 5 of 8
S2Juszczyk4Oracz4n = 8split evenly
S3Juszczyk4Oracz4n = 8split evenly
S4Juszczyk2Oracz3n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricJuszczykOraczJ − OBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match34.434.8−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime660 / 1216 vs 844 / 153154.3%55.1%660 / 1216 vs 844 / 1531Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.50/Oracz 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 25 · 17:20K. Juszczyk30118561L. Oracz3851111113
WAug 7 · 22:10K. Juszczyk341211113L. Oracz2610880
LJun 19 · 18:30K. Juszczyk341011761L. Oracz4012611113
LMay 21 · 18:25K. Juszczyk209740L. Oracz331111113
WDec 13 · 03:45K. Juszczyk331111113L. Oracz228770
WDec 13 · 00:05K. Juszczyk4713149113L. Oracz4011121161
WMay 18 · 00:45K. Juszczyk4311713123L. Oracz3751111101
LMay 17 · 22:20K. Juszczyk347611101L. Oracz4211118123
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 25 · 16:15O. Sokolowski2.385540K. Juszczyk1.531111113WSep 25 · 15:25K. Juszczyk1.801711113O. Vincenec1.9115260LSep 24 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.8011115113K. Juszczyk1.90911161LSep 24 · 19:35M. Adamus2.10101113123K. Juszczyk1.6512511101LSep 24 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.80841111113K. Juszczyk1.8511116292LSep 24 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.2811611113K. Juszczyk3.40611981WSep 24 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.2561190K. Juszczyk1.541113113WSep 23 · 20:00K. Juszczyk2.0011119113M. Koczyba1.71481171WSep 23 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.8081311113S. Krupa1.911111471LSep 23 · 17:35K. Juszczyk1.857670M. Adamus1.851111113
L. Oracz10
LSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192WSep 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501091171L. Oracz1.5012117113WSep 24 · 14:20M. Jozefiak2.25811120L. Oracz1.571113143WSep 24 · 13:30W. Urban1.73761381L. Oracz2.00111111113WSep 24 · 11:25K. Schaniel2.251161161L. Oracz1.5713114113LSep 24 · 10:35O. Jadach1.571111113L. Oracz2.257980WSep 24 · 09:00I. Szymanski4.50121111972L. Oracz1.171021311113WSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113WSep 24 · 07:20W. Urban1.9112913121L. Oracz1.80101115143LSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142
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