TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Jadach vs Lukasz Oracz 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 58.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 15–17 Lukasz Oracz Oskar Jadach has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:00What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1378 vs Oracz 1400
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Oracz +3
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.57 / Oracz 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jadach)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13183356
Jadach1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 338 of 506
Up 2–0, closes it94% 159 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it85% 237 of 280
Oracz2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 123 of 289
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayOracz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach71.4%5 of 7
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach7Oracz3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S2Jadach4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Jadach7Oracz3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach2Oracz4n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5Jadach1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachOraczJ − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.536.9+1.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime792 / 1323 vs 839 / 152459.9%55.1%792 / 1323 vs 839 / 1524Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.57/Oracz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 03:00O. Jadach29691131L. Oracz3911116113
LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach48116128112L. Oracz527111011133
LSep 6 · 21:30O. Jadach196670L. Oracz331111113
WJul 30 · 11:55O. Jadach4211911113L. Oracz31811661
WJul 30 · 06:00O. Jadach331111113L. Oracz257990
WJul 12 · 11:30O. Jadach581111109173L. Oracz54971211152
LJul 12 · 07:10O. Jadach33591181L. Oracz3911116113
WJun 14 · 13:10O. Jadach391711113L. Oracz2615650
LJun 14 · 05:30O. Jadach50119101192L. Oracz45811123113
WJun 13 · 12:20O. Jadach341112113L. Oracz2581070
O. Jadach10
WSep 24 · 09:50M. Jozefiak1.831110111192O. Jadach1.83612139113LSep 24 · 08:35O. Jadach1.911051161W. Urban1.8012118113WSep 24 · 06:55O. Jadach1.17511117113I. Szymanski4.5011981172LSep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—111070M. Jozefiak—1312113WSep 24 · 04:10O. Jadach1.5081112113K. Schaniel2.501191081LSep 24 · 03:00O. Jadach1.61691131L. Oracz2.2011116113LSep 22 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57119361M. Skuril2.2581111113LSep 22 · 12:40O. Jadach1.50111110272R. Niemiec2.50741211113WSep 22 · 11:25O. Jadach1.61117511123P. Przewlocki2.20311113102LSep 22 · 10:10P. Brozek2.001011116123O. Jadach1.73128911102
L. Oracz10
WSep 24 · 11:25K. Schaniel2.251161161L. Oracz1.5713114113WSep 24 · 09:00I. Szymanski4.50121111972L. Oracz1.171021311113WSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113WSep 24 · 07:20W. Urban1.9112913121L. Oracz1.80101115143LSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142WSep 24 · 04:30I. Szymanski4.334980L. Oracz1.201111113WSep 24 · 03:00O. Jadach1.61691131L. Oracz2.2011116113WSep 23 · 02:35J. Nowak2.103660L. Oracz1.671111113LSep 23 · 01:25L. Oracz1.619370M. Adamus2.201111113LSep 23 · 24:10G. Marud1.831111113L. Oracz1.834640
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