TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Jadach vs Lukasz Oracz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911116311––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 15–16 Lukasz Oracz Oskar Jadach has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-16 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1395 vs Oracz 1338
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -2 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.61 / Oracz 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13182287
Jadach1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 338 of 505
Up 2–0, closes it94% 159 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it85% 237 of 280
Oracz2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog42% won 122 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayOracz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach62.5%5 of 8
AwayOraczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach8Oracz2n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S2Jadach4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Jadach6Oracz4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach3Oracz3n = 6split evenly
S5Jadach1Oracz3n = 4Oracz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachOraczJ − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.2+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1317 vs 833 / 151759.9%54.9%789 / 1317 vs 833 / 1517Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.61/Oracz 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach48116128112L. Oracz527111011133
LSep 6 · 21:30O. Jadach196670L. Oracz331111113
WJul 30 · 11:55O. Jadach4211911113L. Oracz31811661
WJul 30 · 06:00O. Jadach331111113L. Oracz257990
WJul 12 · 11:30O. Jadach581111109173L. Oracz54971211152
LJul 12 · 07:10O. Jadach33591181L. Oracz3911116113
WJun 14 · 13:10O. Jadach391711113L. Oracz2615650
LJun 14 · 05:30O. Jadach50119101192L. Oracz45811123113
WJun 13 · 12:20O. Jadach341112113L. Oracz2581070
LJun 13 · 08:20O. Jadach4311491182L. Oracz42411115113
O. Jadach10
LSep 22 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57119361M. Skuril2.2581111113LSep 22 · 12:40O. Jadach1.50111110272R. Niemiec2.50741211113WSep 22 · 11:25O. Jadach1.61117511123P. Przewlocki2.20311113102LSep 22 · 10:10P. Brozek2.001011116123O. Jadach1.73128911102WSep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach1.61111011113W. Urban2.20912971LSep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73811100P. Brozek2.001113123WSep 22 · 06:30O. Jadach1.611111113R. Niemiec2.208570WSep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.731111117113P. Przewlocki2.0013651142LSep 22 · 04:10M. Skuril2.38118114113O. Jadach1.5391191182LSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach1.805111213112W. Urban1.911181411133
L. Oracz10
WSep 23 · 02:35J. Nowak2.103660L. Oracz1.671111113LSep 23 · 01:25L. Oracz1.619370M. Adamus2.201111113LSep 23 · 24:10G. Marud1.831111113L. Oracz1.834640LSep 22 · 22:55G. Jurowicz2.201111113L. Oracz1.616650WSep 22 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.7366111152L. Oracz2.00111187113WSep 22 · 20:30G. Marud1.9179111172L. Oracz1.80111193113LSep 22 · 19:20L. Oracz1.73137611132M. Adamus2.001111115153WSep 22 · 18:10J. Nowak1.9110L. Oracz1.8063WSep 22 · 16:55M. Koczyba1.807911161L. Oracz1.9111119183WSep 22 · 15:25G. Jurowicz2.251021141L. Oracz1.5712118113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
Sep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—M. Jozefiak——Sep 24 · 06:55O. Jadach1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 24 · 08:35O. Jadach1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 24 · 09:50O. Jadach—M. Jozefiak——Sep 24 · 10:35O. Jadach1.57L. Oracz2.25—Sep 24 · 12:15O. Jadach1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 24 · 13:05O. Jadach1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 24 · 13:55O. Jadach1.50K. Schaniel2.50—
L. Oracz
Sep 24 · 04:30L. Oracz1.20I. Szymanski4.33—Sep 24 · 05:15L. Oracz1.61K. Schaniel2.20—Sep 24 · 07:20L. Oracz1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 24 · 08:10L. Oracz—M. Jozefiak——Sep 24 · 09:00L. Oracz1.20I. Szymanski4.33—Sep 24 · 10:35L. Oracz2.25O. Jadach1.57—Sep 24 · 11:25L. Oracz1.61K. Schaniel2.20—Sep 24 · 13:30L. Oracz1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 24 · 14:20L. Oracz—M. Jozefiak——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.