TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Jadach vs Wojciech Urban 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012119117––
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 54.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 7–8 Wojciech Urban Oskar Jadach has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1417 vs Urban 1300
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.61 / Urban 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13169743
Jadach1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 334 of 496
Up 2–0, closes it95% 158 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it85% 234 of 274
Urban2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 521
Down 0–1, comes back19% 55 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayUrban5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach2Urban8n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S5Jadach3Urban3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachUrbanJ − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match46.547.4−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime800 / 1327 vs 776 / 164860.3%47.1%800 / 1327 vs 776 / 1648Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.61/Urban 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach525111213112W. Urban571181411133
WJul 18 · 14:20O. Jadach47311155133W. Urban551191311112
LJul 18 · 08:10O. Jadach4311127582W. Urban529101111113
LMay 1 · 07:35O. Jadach5513101111102W. Urban48151254123
LMar 31 · 22:50O. Jadach376121181W. Urban4511149113
WMar 31 · 15:10O. Jadach541214611113W. Urban49141211392
WMar 30 · 01:30O. Jadach4612716113W. Urban3710111421
WMar 29 · 19:30O. Jadach4161111133W. Urban361177111
LJan 6 · 01:20O. Jadach408911121W. Urban4311117143
WJan 5 · 21:20O. Jadach50611813123W. Urban521191111102
O. Jadach10
LSep 22 · 10:10P. Brozek2.001011116123O. Jadach1.73128911102LSep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73811100P. Brozek2.001113123WSep 22 · 06:30O. Jadach1.611111113R. Niemiec2.208570WSep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.731111117113P. Przewlocki2.0013651142LSep 22 · 04:10M. Skuril2.38118114113O. Jadach1.5391191182LSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach1.805111213112W. Urban1.911181411133LSep 21 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8581111113O. Jadach1.80118691LSep 21 · 15:30P. Ostachowski5.0611711113O. Jadach1.13511951WSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870WSep 21 · 13:10O. Jadach1.371511411143W. Tobiasz2.90176118122
W. Urban10
WSep 22 · 08:35M. Skuril2.0041690W. Urban1.731118113LSep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.618914111P. Przewlocki2.20111112133LSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek1.611114113W. Urban2.2061210LSep 22 · 04:55R. Niemiec1.911181311113W. Urban1.80131111882WSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach1.805111213112W. Urban1.911181411133LSep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.852550P. Kurek1.801111113LSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471WSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113LSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123WSep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.78111116113M. Baron1.9311571192
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