TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Juszczyk vs Sebastian Krupa 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111311114117––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
8111311114117––
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 22–22 Sebastian Krupa Dead even across their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-22 in 44
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1462 vs Krupa 1393
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 80% vs Krupa 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 90% vs Krupa 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk -1 · Krupa +3
Krupa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.80 / Krupa 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Juszczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13185368
Juszczyk1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it95% 113 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it80% 157 of 197
Krupa1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuszczyk4wins
AwayKrupa6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk80%4 of 5
AwayKrupa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk5Krupa5n = 10split evenly
S2Juszczyk2Krupa8n = 10Krupa took 8 of 10
S3Juszczyk7Krupa3n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Juszczyk3Krupa4n = 7Krupa took 4 of 7
S5Juszczyk1Krupa2n = 3Krupa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuszczykKrupaJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.7−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime660 / 1214 vs 307 / 61154.4%50.3%660 / 1214 vs 307 / 611Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.80/Krupa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 16:00K. Juszczyk4011711113S. Krupa36911881
LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk34118691S. Krupa3961111113
WSep 2 · 20:20K. Juszczyk441110111113S. Krupa4391241172
WAug 26 · 20:20K. Juszczyk331111113S. Krupa214980
LAug 18 · 18:45K. Juszczyk196490S. Krupa331111113
LAug 15 · 08:20K. Juszczyk4056111172S. Krupa47111195113
LJun 28 · 22:00K. Juszczyk49101111892S. Krupa44125511113
LJun 24 · 20:20K. Juszczyk427121491S. Krupa48111412113
LJun 17 · 16:50K. Juszczyk207760S. Krupa331111113
WJun 10 · 20:20K. Juszczyk4211911113S. Krupa33911761
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 23 · 20:00K. Juszczyk2.0011119113M. Koczyba1.71481171LSep 23 · 17:35K. Juszczyk1.857670M. Adamus1.851111113WSep 23 · 16:25R. Wiza2.7597111192K. Juszczyk1.40111148113WSep 23 · 15:35K. Juszczyk1.9061113113K. Hetnar1.751141181WSep 20 · 08:00K. Juszczyk1.801610119123M. Adamus1.801412811102WSep 20 · 06:45K. Juszczyk2.3711611123P. Zemla1.526116101WSep 20 · 05:35K. Juszczyk1.80511511113M. Paszkiewicz1.8611311572WSep 20 · 04:25W. Urban1.95119881K. Juszczyk1.7491111113WSep 20 · 03:35K. Juszczyk1.901111113W. Pytlas1.769470WSep 19 · 04:20D. Fira2.4386100K. Juszczyk1.391111123
S. Krupa10
WSep 23 · 18:00R. Wiza2.607890S. Krupa1.421111113WSep 23 · 17:10S. Krupa1.65111486113K. Hetnar2.12812111172WSep 23 · 16:00S. Krupa2.8011101111113M. Koczyba1.3913129882LSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070LSep 16 · 19:10O. Sokolowski1.9911812123S. Krupa1.6781110101WSep 16 · 18:25S. Krupa1.8311118113M. Adamus1.86741191LSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971WSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360
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