TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Rulc vs Tomas Liska 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116811811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 70–56 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 56 of their 126 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rulc beat Liska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 1.67 / Liska 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Rulc)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13194495
Rulc1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 92 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it66% 63 of 96
Liska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 83 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc6wins
AwayLiska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRulc leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc83.3%5 of 6
AwayLiska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc6Liska4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Rulc5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S3Rulc4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Rulc2Liska6n = 8Liska took 6 of 8
S5Rulc5Liska1n = 6Rulc took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcLiskaR − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.6+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 690 vs 397 / 86450.1%46%346 / 690 vs 397 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcRulc 1.67/Liska 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 11:15L. Rulc521110137113T. Liska47712111162
LSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc236980T. Liska331111113
WSep 14 · 08:23L. Rulc331111113T. Liska257990
LSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc3711510111T. Liska4371112133
WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc52121189123T. Liska461041111102
WAug 29 · 10:30L. Rulc51911119113T. Liska4311981142
LAug 17 · 08:45L. Rulc4581111692T. Liska49118811113
LAug 17 · 07:45L. Rulc311011821T. Liska4312911113
WAug 4 · 05:15L. Rulc51119911113T. Liska3831111672
WAug 2 · 19:45L. Rulc46114911113T. Liska3961111742
L. Rulc10
WSep 25 · 11:15T. Liska2.20712111162L. Rulc1.611110137113WSep 25 · 10:45L. Rulc1.91141194113M. Makara1.80124111162WSep 25 · 09:45L. Rulc1.91111179113R. Pisa1.8085111192WSep 23 · 16:14M. Myler2.0051090L. Rulc1.731112113LSep 23 · 15:15O. Mezera3.75611811153L. Rulc1.25118118132WSep 23 · 14:45L. Rulc1.80911119113S. Rejent1.9111961142LSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123WSep 22 · 12:19L. Rulc1.831111113L. Adam1.837990LSep 22 · 11:15L. Adam1.73411711123L. Rulc2.00115117102WSep 22 · 10:45L. Rulc1.80111111113M. Makara1.91813941
T. Liska10
LSep 25 · 11:15T. Liska2.20712111162L. Rulc1.611110137113WSep 25 · 10:15T. Liska2.101141110113R. Pisa1.6771191292WSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131LSep 22 · 12:48M. Makara1.809111212123T. Liska1.911171410102LSep 22 · 11:45T. Liska2.008101191M. Makara1.7311124113WSep 22 · 10:15L. Adam1.73861151T. Liska2.0011116113WSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc1.736980T. Liska2.001111113LSep 20 · 16:54L. Veigl1.73121397113T. Liska2.001011111182WSep 20 · 15:45T. Liska1.80117111363L. Veigl1.9141191552LSep 20 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.679111193T. Liska2.10117881
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