TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Hendrych vs Petr Moravec 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117118––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:45 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeJan Hendrych to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Hendrych at 58.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 15–12 Petr Moravec Petr Moravec has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:45What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1508 vs Moravec 1489
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 40% vs Moravec 20%
Hendrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Moravec 20%
Hendrych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -3 · Moravec +1
Hendrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.83 / Moravec 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hendrych)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13193439
Hendrych1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Moravec1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych5wins
AwayMoravec5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych75%3 of 4
AwayMoravec66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Hendrych4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Hendrych4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych7Moravec2n = 9Hendrych took 7 of 9
S5Hendrych2Moravec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychMoravecH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.842.2−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 516 vs 111 / 22150.8%50.2%262 / 516 vs 111 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 1.83/Moravec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych258890P. Moravec331111113
WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych571191511113P. Moravec4881117662
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych36811981P. Moravec4211911113
WSep 8 · 16:50J. Hendrych4011117113P. Moravec29871131
LAug 20 · 17:55J. Hendrych3351121232P. Moravec491161110113
WAug 20 · 15:20J. Hendrych551081211143P. Moravec531211108122
WAug 17 · 15:25J. Hendrych4271111133P. Moravec391198111
LAug 11 · 15:25J. Hendrych391171291P. Moravec4371114113
WAug 3 · 18:28J. Hendrych4411913113P. Moravec388111181
LAug 3 · 17:25J. Hendrych47107111182P. Moravec48121195113
J. Hendrych10
LSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych2.208890P. Moravec1.611111113LSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530WSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662WSep 17 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.674111115113M. Sochor2.10118131342WSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113WSep 17 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.0011911113M. Sochor1.73611791LSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871
P. Moravec10
WSep 25 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.3813118101P. Moravec1.5315911123WSep 24 · 17:24J. Hendrych2.208890P. Moravec1.611111113LSep 24 · 16:50P. Moravec1.6711812752M. Dvorak2.108111011113LSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480LSep 24 · 14:50J. Hendrych1.731191511113P. Moravec2.0081117662LSep 17 · 10:08A. Langer1.911111113P. Moravec1.804880LSep 17 · 08:55A. Langer1.671311811113P. Moravec2.1015711752WSep 17 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.73711891P. Moravec2.0011711113LSep 17 · 07:25P. Moravec2.50211751A. Rek1.5011711113LSep 16 · 09:59J. Vonasek1.53971111113P. Moravec2.3811116432
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.